9/8: Kentucky Downs (2nd-10th)

[Kasept]

KENTUCKY DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


2nd: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Slightly odd assembly with mixed signals on a lot of the firsters..

Best Value: #7 True Prodigy 10-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Sundance 9-2 8th
Exotics Use: #12 Tollgate Canyon 10-1 10th
Super Add: #5 Murky 12-1 WON ($20.62)


3rd: OC/N1X, 2yo, 6.5f-T (P3, DD)

SCR #2 Bal a Kazoo who ran Monday at CNL..

Best Value: #7 Smoke Lightening 6-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Stud Lovin 7-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Panama 6-1 WON ($13.56)
Super Add: #5 Toddchero 4-1 -


4th: ALW/NC-R, 2yo, 2yo, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Mo Stash 7-2 4th
Next Best: #5 Wico 10-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Prove Right SCR
Exotics Use: #1 Ocean Pointe 10-1 8th


5th: OC/N2X, 3+, 7f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Fore Left 6-1 5th
Next Best: #11 Pyron 3-1 11th
Exotics Use: #7 Light Fury 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #10 Super Design 10-1 9th


P5 Grid:

2: 4-7-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
3: 7-8 (A), - (B), 5-6 (C)
4: 4-5 (A), 1-8 (B), - (C)
5: 6-11 (A), 7-10 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (5-6 in 3rd): 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (A-C-A-A)


6th: ALW/NC, 2yo-F, 6.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

SCR #8 Grand Oak who ran Monday at CNL..

Best Value: #9 Buttons 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Move It Baby 9-2 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Scarpia SCR
Super Add: #6 Right of Refusal 20-1 7th


7th: MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Tiger Tap 10-1 8th
Next Best: #11 Wet Paint 5-1 10th
Exotics Use: #7 Stay Lost 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Don't Go Changing 3-1 7th


P5 Grid:

4: 4-5 (A), 1-8 (B), - (C)
5: 6-11 (A), 7-10 (B), - (C)
6: 2-3-9 (A), - (B), 1-6-7 (C)
7: 6-11 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x3x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (1-6-7 in 6th): 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (A-A-C-A)


8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Wildly competitive ALW set.. SCR #6 Encourage who won here Monday..

Most Likely: #1 Mr. Tip 8-1 8th
Best Value: #4 Roughin the City 20-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Penner Ash 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #12 Mazuma 5-1 3rd


9th: Juvenile Sprint, 2yo, 6.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Sharp Aza Tack 7-5 2nd
Next Best: #5 Private Creed 4-1 WON ($7.58)
Exotics Use: #1 Bourbon Therapy 10-1 4th


10th: MSW, F&M-3+, 10.5f-T (Hi-5)

Yikes. Mile and a quarter plus and almost none can be eliminated as win candidates..

Best Value: #1 Missoni 10-1 4th
Next Best: #10 High Stick SCR
Exotics Use: #12 Personal Best 5-2 WON ($6.26)
Super Add: #7 Seiver 15-1 6th
Hi-5 Play: #11 Quality Star 7-2 3rd


P5 Grid:

6: 2-3-9 (A), - (B), 1-6-7 (C)
7: 6-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1-4-7 (A), 3-8-11 (B), - (C)
9: 2 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-10 (A), 7-12 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x6x1x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (1-6-7 in 6th): 3x2x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (C-A-A-A-A)


P4 Grid:

7: 6-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1-4-7 (A), 3-8-11 (B), - (C)
9: 2 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-7-10-12 (A), 1-11 (B), 4-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x6x1x6 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x3x1x4 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (4-6 in 10th): 2x3x1x2 = 12 x .50 = $6 (A-A-A-C)


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

Having a great time here, but getting killed. Jeebus.