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#1
10-02-2020, 05:17 AM
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10/2: Keeneland (6th-10th)
KEENELAND
POST-SCRATCHES 6th: OC/N2L, 2yo-F, 1m (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5) Best Value: #9 Spun d'Etat 9-2 4th Next Best: #7 Lady Lilly 9-2 WON ($7.40) Exotics Use: #6 Puye Timing 6-1 7th Super Add: #1 American Grace 10-1 3rd 7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5) Most Likely: #5 I Hear You 3-1 8th Best Value: #2 Quiet Dignity 5-1 2nd Next Best: #8 Luck Money 5-2 WON ($5.40) Exotics Use: #4 Ella Brilla 9-2 5th 8th: Phoenix (G2), 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Hi-5) Deep, fun edition of this race which has no set blueprint for success. In recent years, three year olds have won it and all running styles have scored. One PHX constant has been Whitmore who appears here for the 4th straight year having won in '17, followed by placements behind Promises Fulfilled and Engage. He cuts back today to his best distance and will get a spirited pace to chase. Echo Town unsuccessfully tried the Pat Day off the Jerkens win and should get a great trip behind the speed returning to 6f.. Most Likely: #3 Whitmore 7-2 4th Best Value: #6 Echo Town 8-1 3rd Next Best: #9 Lexitonian 4-1 9th Exotics Use: #2 Absolutely Aiden 12-1 5th 9th: Alcibiades (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (DD, Hi-5) Lightly-raced and evenly-matched make decisions difficult in this Alcibiades. Undefeated 3-1 stake winners from Asmussen (#1 Thoughtfully) and McPeek (#7 Simply Ravishing) bookend the group, with the former stretching out to 2 turns and the latter having had the benefit of routing in her debut victory which came on turf. McPeek also offers a pair of 4th time starters in 5-2 Crazy Beautiful & 12-1 Oliviaofthedesert. Crazy Beautiful won the Ellis Deb ahead of a late running 2nd in the Pocahontas and merits only a slight edge. Oliviaofthedesert needs to speed up, but offers intrigue at a big number having consistently closed into slow fractions. Brad Cox sends the likely pacesetter (and wire threat) as Oaks Day maiden winner Travel Column (7-2) stretches out off the 6f bow. Gramercy shows up from sweeping Arlington debut win and lures Rosario. Very good group and think you need to spread as wide as possible to get through leg in multis.. Most Likely: #7 Simply Ravishing 3-1 WON ($6.40) Next Best: #4 Crazy Beautiful 5-2 2nd Exotics Use: #2 Travel Column 7-2 3rd Super Add: #1 Thoughtfully 3-1 4th 10th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (Hi-5) Most Likely: #3 Royal Prince 7-2 WON ($5.00) Best Value: #10 Shaldag 10-1 6th Next Best: #5 Conquest Rainycity 9-2 3rd Exotics Use: #6 Bryce Canyon 15-1 12th P5 Grid: 6: 9 (A), 7 (B), - (C) 7: 2-5 (A), 4-8 (B), - (C) 8: 3-6 (A), - (B), 2-4-5-9 (C) 9: 2-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C) 10: 3-5-10 (A), - (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 2x4x2x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72 All A's: 1x2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 =$18 Backup (with 2-4-5-9): 1x2x4x3x3 = 72 x .50 = $36 P4 Grid: 7: 2-5 (A), 4-8 (B), - (C) 8: 3-6 (A), 2-9 (B), 4-5 (C) 9: 2-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C) 10: 3-5-10 (A), - (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 4x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72 All A's: 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 =$18 Backup (with 4-5): 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 PIMLICO ~ HI! HO! POST-SCRATCHES FRIDAY 11th: Pimlico Special (G3), 3+, 9.5f (PIM Special-Preakness DBL, Hi-5) Best Value: #1 Cordmaker 8-1 3rd Next Best: #8 Owendale 8-5 2nd Exotics Use: #4 Someday Jones 9-2 7th Super Add: #9 Harper's First Ride 5-1 WON ($13.00) SATURDAY 12th: Preakness (G1), 3yo, 9.5f (DD, Hi-5) Most Likely: #9 Authentic 9-5 Best Value: #4 Swiss Skydiver 6-1 Next Best: #3 Art Collector 5-2 Exotics Use: #2 Mr. Big News 12-1 Double Grid: PIM Special: 1-3/SCR-4-8 (A), - (B), - (C) Preakness: 2-3-4-9 (A), - (B), 1-5-6-7-8-10 (C) Simple (A+B): 3x4 = 12 x $4 = $48 All A's: 3x4 = 12 x $2 =$24 Backup: 3x6 = $18 (1-4-8 with 1-5-6-7-8-10) Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 10-02-2020 at 05:43 PM. 
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#2
10-02-2020, 10:11 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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