8/27: Saratoga ($69k C/O; Better Talk Now)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: NY-MSW, 2yo, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Just Right 7-5 WON ($7.40)
Best Value: #6 Pier Forty 10-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Woodbury 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Red Zinger 2-1 2nd


2nd: MSW, 3+, 12f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Winter Union 4-1 WON ($14.60)
Best Value: #2 Jumonia 12-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Sargeant Drive 8-5 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Midnight Tea Time 9-5 2nd


3rd: MCLM/$75k, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1e Klaravich entry 1-1 WON ($3.80)/2nd
Best Value: #8 Tapin Through Life 12-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Big Mischief 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Lolli 12-1 7th


4th: NY-Cond-ALW, 3+, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD)

$69k P6 C/O starts here..

T Loves a Fight won this exact same race a year ago, (Weekend Hideaway 2nd, Celtic Chaos 3rd), but he was in better form at that time. Celtic Chaos ran into a jackpot in Morrissey last month. Square price winner with clean voyage..

Best Value: #4 Celtic Chaos 3-1 WON ($5.30)
Next Best: #2 Eye Love Lulu 6-5 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Weekend Hideaway 8-5 3rd


5th: NY-CLM, 3+, 1m-IT (NYRA Bets P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Mobridge 5-2 5th
Next Best: #6 Changewilldoyagood 4-1 8th
Best Value: #4 Wicked Freud 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Vincento 7-2 4th


P5 Grid:

1: 1-5-6 (A), - (B), 2-3 (C)
2: 2-4-5 (A), - (B), 1-8-9 (C)
3: 1 (A), 2-8 (B), 4-7 (C)
4: 2-4 (A), 1 (B), 3-5 (C)
5: 2-6 (A), - (B), 3-4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x3x3x2 = 162 x .50 = $81
All A's: 3x3x1x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Full A-B-C: $183


P4 Grid:

2: 2-4 (A), 5-9 (B), 3-8 (C)
3: 1-2-8 (A), - (B), 4-7 (C)
4: 2-4 (A), 1 (B), 3-5 (C)
5: 2-6 (A), 3-4 (B), 1-5-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Full A-B-C: $116

$0.50 Pick-4 (4/1,6/4/7) Paid $177.00 (A-A-A-C)


6th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Dr. Shane 5-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Bam Bam Blu 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Thunder's Honor 8-1 6th
Super Add: #1 New York Song 4-1 5th


7th: NY-CLM, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Riff Raff 9-5 4th
Best Value: #9 Fleet Irish 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Sal the Turtle 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Summer Bourbon 4-1 5th


8th: Better Talk Now-R, 3yo, 1m-IT (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Have At It 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #5 Rose's Vision 9-2 WON ($12.40)
Exotics Use: #1 Strike Power 7-2 -
Super Add: #10 Prioritize 5-1 3rd


9th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T

Most Likely: #4 Surge of Pride 7-2 WON ($9.20)
Next Best: #6 Short Pour 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #9 Kathy's Cause 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Margie Cat 15-1 8th


P6 Grid:

4: 2-4 (A), 1 (B), 3-5 (C)
5: 2-6 (A), - (B), 3-4 (C)
6: 4 (A), 6-8 (B), 1 (C)
7: 5 (A), - (B), 1-3-9 (C)
8: 5-7 (A), - (B), 1-10 (C)
9: 4-6 (A), - (B), 9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x3x1x2x2 = 72 x $2 = $144
All A's: 2x2x1x1x2x2 = 16 x $2 = $32
Full A-B-C: $384


P5 Grid:

5: 2-6 (A), 1-3-4-7 (B), 5-8 (C)
6: 4-6-8 (A), 1-2-3 (B), 9-10 (C)
7: 5 (A), - (B), 1-3-9 (C)
8: 5-7 (A), - (B), 1-10 (C)
9: 4-6 (A), - (B), 9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x6x1x2x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x1x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Full A-B-C: $146


P4 Grid:

6: 4-6-8 (A), 1-2-3 (B), 9-10 (C)
7: 3-5-9 (A), - (B), 1-7 (C)
8: 5-7 (A), 1-10 (B), 2-3 (C)
9: 4-6 (A), - (B), 9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x3x4x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Full A-B-C: $123


Good luck!
Steve

[moses]

Thanks Steve. I also like the #6 - Pier Forty in Race 1. And the ML favorite #1 - Just Right.

I like the #3 - Red Zinger a little better than the #5 - Woodbury, though. Hopefully Pier Forty can pull it out. Good luck!

[moses]

Great job so far, Steve. Three in a row for your “most likely” picks. The $2.00 Pick 3 paid $152.50. Plus, the double for the first & second race paid $62.00. Not bad, all things considered.

[knickslions2]

Awful beat on Have At It

[Kasept]

#6 Short Pour the lone runner covered in the C/O P6 sequence (3rd choice in DBL's).

Any other winner produces DBL C/O to Wednesday for $291,756.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by knickslions2

Awful beat on Have At It

Lost a lot of ground.

Still a nice result.