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Old 10-04-2017, 07:30 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,096
Default 10/4: Belmont Park ($31k C/O)

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Anna Rae out of dam that was winless but competent on turf and Cox barn 3/9 (with 5 ITM) when combining 1st/claim with dirt/turf & blinkers off moves..

Best Value: #1 Anna Rae 8-1 12th
Next Best: #11 Transaction Tax 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Dream a Little 6-1 10th
Super Add: #9 Veil Dance 5-1 5th


5th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f (G/S, P3, DD)

Tricky read if you want to go narrow for P6 with all but the 2 eligible to win..

Most Likely: #4 Boule 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #1 Just Got Out 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Crimson Frost 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Parade 2-1 WON ($4.50)


6th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Messy affair. Kat O Mine the frog with least warts..

POST-SCR NOTE: #13 Youth Gone Wild (12-1) draws in and is dangerous..

Most Likely: #12 Kat O Mine 6-1 WON ($6.90)
Next Best: #9 Reconsider It 12-1 11th
Best Value: #5 Itsthemoney 20-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Corey Q 7-2 4th


7th: CLM, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Can you call veteran filly and mare claimers 'hard knockers'? 192 starts and 35 wins among these 7 ladies..

Most Likely: #6 Arewehavingfunyet 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Marnesia Big Girl 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Josephine's Moment 2-1 6th
Super Add: #2 Kate Is a Ten 8-1 3rd


8th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 7f-T (DD)

Top pair appear to have edge and budget plays should lean heavily on Servis, Franco & Broken Border who return to friendly state-bred confines..

Most Likely: #3 BROKEN BORDER 5-2 WON ($5.40)
Next Best: #6 Barrier to Entry 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #10 Rockin Alli 15-1 8th
Exotics Use: #2 First Appeal 6-1 7th


9th: MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 6f-IT

Most Likely: #1 (POE) Divine Caroline 5-2 WON ($5.50)
Best Value: #6 Banner Wave 10-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Daddyisdooley 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 More Than Treasure 5-1 3rd


P6 Grid:

4: 1-11 (A), - (B), 8-9 (C)
5: 1-4 (A), 3-5 (B), - (C)
6: 12 (A), 9 (B), 3-5-13 (C)
7: 1-5-6 (A), - (B), 2-4 (C)
8: 3 (A), - (B), 6 (C)
9: 1 (A), 6 (B), 2-3 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x2x3x1x2 = 96 x $2 = $192
All A's: 2x2x1x3x1x1 = 12 x $2 = $24


P4 Grid:

6: 3-5-9-12 (A), 1-2-6-13 (B), 4-7-8-11 (C)
7: 1-5-6 (A), - (B), 2-4 (C)
8: 3 (A), 6 (B), 1-2-8-10 (C)
9: 1-6 (A), - (B), 2-3 (C)

Simple (A+B): 8x3x2x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 4x3x1x2 = 24 x .50 = $12

$0.50 PICK FOUR (10,12,13,14,15,16/4/3,4,5,9,12,13,14/1,5,8) Paid $132.00 (A-C-A-A)


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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Last edited by Kasept : 10-04-2017 at 04:37 PM.
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Old 10-04-2017, 10:30 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,096
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BEL SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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