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  #1  
Old 10-01-2015, 01:47 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,937
Default 10/1: Santa Anita ($62k C/O)

SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: CLM, 3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

There is scant speed here. Celebrity Status can wire. Out POatience turns back from Los Al mile but can't lose touch with leaders. Apollo Ten lurking back with Carava and back at SA..

Most Likely: #7 Celebrity Staus 5-2 6th
Next Best: #1 Out of Patience 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Apollo Ten 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Market Notes 4-1 5th


4th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Tulira one of the viable single options in sequence..

Most Likely: #1 Tulira Castle 8-5 WON ($3.40)
Best Value: #6 Warren's Nicholas 8-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Life Is a Joy 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Broadway Nika 3-1 6th


5th: MSW, 3+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Guillot and Moreno contracting operation and this Smart Strike homebred might lift spirits considerably. Last (first turf) was best yet and this looks like breakthrough spot with the added distance..

Best Value: #1 Boone Docks 4-1 WON ($7.60)
Next Best: #6 Broken Up 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Big Discovery 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #2 Paythebank 6-1 5th


6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 1m (P3, DD)

Bejarano sticks with D'amato stablemate (and deserving fave) Bellamentary, but don't exclude Blessherheart (12-1) who may move up considerably coming out of the race that produced Where's the D. Likewise, Baffert intriguing with mid-priced Structure and Escapee (6-1 each)..

Most Likely: #7 Bellamentary 5-2 WON ($3.40)
Best Value: #2 Blessherheart 12-1 9th
Next Best: #6 Structure 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Escapee 6-1 6th


7th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 6.5f-T (DD)

Very strong feature with 5x winner Thundering Gale the sole participant running for the tag. Though she's not tried the downhill course, she has the profile of the type that succeeds on it. 1-5-9-10 have smaller win potential and are the exotics candidates.

Most Likely: #7 THUNDERING GALE 7-2 8th
Best Value: #9 Queenofthepalace 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Lost Bus 5-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Madam Aamoura 12-1 9th
Super Add: #10 Glory 4-1 WON ($6.20)


8th: OC/S-ALW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Sharp Holiday 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #9 Aiming Straight 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Dragon Flower 3-1 WON ($6.80)
Exotics Use: #3 Public House 5-1 5th
Hi-5 Play: #10 Pretty Enuff 12-1 -


P6 Grid:

3: 1-7 (A), 3-4 (B), 2-5 (C)
4: 1 (A), - (B), 4-6 (C)
5: 1-6 (A), 2-7 (B), 3-4-5-8 (C)
6: 7 (A), 2 (B), 6-9 (C)
7: 7 (A), 9 (B), 1-5-10 (C)
8: 7 (A), - (B), 3-4-9 (C)

Simple: 4x1x4x2x2x1 = 64 x $2 = $128


P4 Grid:

5: 1-6 (A), 2-7-8 (B), 3-4-5 (C)
6: 2-7 (A), - (B), 6-9 (C)
7: 7 (A), 1-5-9-10 (B), - (C)
8: 7 (A), 4-9 (B), 3-10 (C)

Simple: 5x2x5x3 = 150 x $.50 = $75

$0.50 Pick-4 (1/7,11,12/10/4) Paid $62.15


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 10-01-2015 at 06:47 PM.
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  #2  
Old 10-01-2015, 04:12 PM
Holybull1 Holybull1 is offline
Morris Park
 
Join Date: Nov 2014
Posts: 124
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
SANTA ANITA

6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 1m (P3, DD)

Bejarano sticks with D'amato stablemate (and deserving fave) Bellamentary, but don't exclude Blessherheart (12-1) who may move up considerably coming out of the race that produced Where's the D. Likewise, Baffert intriguing with mid-priced Structure and Escapee (6-1 each)..

Most Likely: #7 Bellamentary 5-2
Best Value: #2 Blessherheart 12-1
Next Best: #6 Structure 6-1
Exotics Use: #9 Escapee 6-1
Would love to see a 2-7 Exacta here.
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  #3  
Old 10-01-2015, 04:30 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,937
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Holybull1 View Post
Would love to see a 2-7 Exacta here.
I'd be happy for anything that gets me back my P6 investment.. Ugly first leg.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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