1/13: Aqueduct ($60k DBL C/O)

[Kasept]

First of 3 months of Mondays at Aqueduct starts this afternoon and has added incentive of $60k double carryover in tow. Track punished attempts to utilize the inside path Sunday, so it will be worth monitoring the early races (2 sprints; 1 route) ahead of the P6 to see if the situation carries into today's action. Andy Serling on ATR this morning at 10:40a to set the stage for this new scheduling wrinkle of Thursday-Monday racing..


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM/N3L, F&M-4+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Ah Gaga turns back and drops. Haldane drop almost suspicious..

Most Likely: #4 Magma 3-1 WON ($5.80)
Next Best: #7 Haldane 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Ah Gaga 7-2 4th


2nd: MSW, 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Highly notable pedigree on display as KMc/Darley unveil Sublime (Medaglia d'Oro), first foal out of the wonderful Hystericalady. As well as McLaughlin barn is going, hard to expect this onw to win at first asking, though dam did win early going just 4.5f at Golden Gate in '05..

Most Likely: #3 Killer Crossover 5-2 4th
Best Value: #6 Smarty Burns 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Ferlin Husky 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Sublime 4-1 5th


3rd: CLM, 4+, 1m-70y (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Point Taken 9-5 7th
Best Value: #7 Scotus 8-1 WON ($14.80)
Next Best: #2 Dan and Shiela 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Sacred Ground 10-1 5th


4th: NY-MCLM/$25k, 3yo, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD)

$60k DBL P6 C/O starts here..

Pletcher dropper has shown little in NY-MSW tries, but this seems like right level. Firsters Channel Bot (Rodriguez) and Astronomo (Kenneally) won't have to be too special to impact this and Rodriguez has handsome numbers debuting in MCLM's (25%; $2.06 ROI on DRF trainer stats)..

Most Likely: #4 Kick'n Butt 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #6 Channel Boy 6-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Pete's Fleet 6-1 WON ($17.00)
Exotics Use: #1 Let's Discuss 10-1 4th


5th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Joking is the likeliest winner, yes, but there are 5 others here within a couple of lengths of him. I struggled with this race and believe it is more perilous than it might appear at first glance..

Most Likely: #6 Joking 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #7 One for Don 6-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Mi Hijo 4-1 WON ($9.00)
Exotics Use: #5 Solly's Mischief 12-1 2nd


<$75 P5/P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P5: 4,7 with 3,6 with 1 with 4 with 6 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 3,6 with 1 with 4 with 6 - $1.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 2 with 1 with 4 with 6 -$1.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 3,6 with 2,7 with 4 with 6 -$4.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 3,6 with 1 with 6 with 6 - $2.00
6 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 3,6 with 1 with 4 with 7 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

7 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 2 with 1 with 4 with 6 - $0.50
8 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 3,6 with 2,7 with 4 with 6 - $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 3,6 with 1 with 6 with 6 - $1.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 3,6 with 1 with 4 with 7 - $1.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 2 with 2,7 with 4 with 6 - $2.00
12 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 2 with 1 with 6 with 6 - $1.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 2 with 1 with 4 with 7 - $1.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 3,6 with 2,7 with 6 with 6 - $4.00
15 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 3,6 with 2,7 with 4 with 7 - $4.00
16 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 3,6 with 1 with 6 with 7 - $2.00

A's with One C

17 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 3,6 with 1 with 1,7 with 6 - $4.00
18 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 3,6 with 1 with 4 with 5,8 - $4.00

Total: $40.50


6th: NY-MSW, 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Thrill Hill 2-1 4th
Next Best: #7 The Rhythmisright 5-1 WON ($5.50)
Best Value: #4 Scare City 10-1 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Campion Lane 20-1 7th


7th: NY-CLM, 4+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Sportswriter 4-5 2nd
Next Best: #5 Isn'tlovejustgrand 7-2 WON ($9.40)
Best Value: #8 El Grande Patron 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Armed U S A 8-1 7th


8th: NY-ALW/N1X, 4+, 8.5f (DD)

#14 Escape to the Moon (7-2) an obvious player drawing in, at the very least from a pace standpoint..

Most Likely: #3 Saturday's Appeal 5-1 5th
Best Value: #10 Alcolite 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Sea to Sky 2-1 10th
Exotics Use: #14 Escape to the Moon 7-2 7th
Super Add: #12 Jack's R Wild 12-1 9th


9th: MCLM/$12.5k, F&M-4+, 6f

Most Likely: #3 Myperfectvalentine 2-1 WON ($4.90)
Best Value: #4 Pegasus Beba 8-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Lil Tiffy 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 High Inflation 7-2 6th


<$200 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 6 with 6 with 4,5 with 3,10 with 3 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 6 with 6 with 6 with 4,5 with 3,10 with 3 - $8.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 7 with 6 with 4,5 with 3,10 with 3 - $8.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 6 with 7 with 4,5 with 3,10 with 3 - $8.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 6 with 6 with 4,5 with 5 with 3 - $4.00
6 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 6 with 6 with 4,5 with 3,10 with 4 - $8.00

A's with Two B's

7 $2.00 pick P6: 6 with 7 with 6 with 4,5 with 3,10 with 3 - $8.00
8 $2.00 pick P6: 6 with 6 with 7 with 4,5 with 3,10 with 3 - $8.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 6 with 6 with 6 with 4,5 with 5 with 3 - $4.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 6 with 6 with 6 with 4,5 with 3,10 with 4 -$8.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 7 with 7 with 4,5 with 3,10 with 3 - $8.00
12 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 7 with 6 with 4,5 with 5 with 3 - $4.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 7 with 6 with 4,5 with 3,10 with 4 - $8.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 6 with 7 with 4,5 with 5 with 3 - $4.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 6 with 7 with 4,5 with 3,10 with 4 - $8.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 6 with 6 with 4,5 with 5 with 4 - $4.00

A's with One C

17 $2.00 pick P6: 1,7 with 6 with 6 with 4,5 with 3,10 with 3 - $16.00
18 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 2,4,5,8 with 6 with 4,5 with 3,10 with 3 - $32.00
19 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 6 with 6 with 6,8 with 3,10 with 3 - $8.00
20 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 6 with 6 with 4,5 with 12,14 with 3 - $8.00
21 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 6 with 6 with 4,5 with 3,10 with 6,9 - $16.00

Total: $188.00


<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 6 with 4,5 with 3,10 with 3,4 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $1.00 pick P4: 7 with 4,5 with 3,10 with 3,4 - $8.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 6 with 6,8 with 3,10 with 3,4 -$8.00
4 $1.00 pick P4: 6 with 4,5 with 5,12,14 with 3,4 - $12.00

A's with Two B's

5 $0.50 pick P4: 7 with 6,8 with 3,10 with 3,4 - $4.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 7 with 4,5 with 5,12,14 with 3,4 - $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 6,8 with 5,12,14 with 3,4 -$6.00

A's with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4,8 with 4,5 with 3,10 with 3,4 - $12.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 3 with 3,10 with 3,4 -$2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 4,5 with 4,9 with 3,4 - $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 4,5 with 3,10 with 6,9 - $4.00

Total: $74.00


Good luck!
Steve