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  #1  
Old 07-04-2012, 08:19 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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Default 7/4: Belmont Park (4th-10th)





BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: Endear-R, F&M-3+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Opus A 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #1a Tiz the Argument 8-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 R Gypsy Gold 2-1 WON ($6.70)


5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5f (P6, P3, DD)

Some quality pedigrees signed on and certainly the group of firsters starts with Pletcher-Robsham's Sweet N Discreet (6-5), a full sis to Discreet Dancer and half to Travelin Man. But there's plenty of other prospects here based on heritage including Clement's Native One, by win-early sire Indian Charlie and a half to stakes winners Banker's Buy (Distorted Humor), Glacken's Gal (Smoke Glacken), City Dweller (Carson City). Must overcome inside post but this is 5f and sharp break puts her in plus position. The value and the pick.

Dutrow-Jay Em Ess entry (by Hard Spun & Tapit) could be potent no matter which of the pair Rick sends with Ramon. Albertrani brings first Nobiz Like Shobiz I'm seeing to the fray, a true top/bottom homebred from Mrs. Valando given she authored the pages of the sire and dam herself. Zito adds Distortion SCR'D to this heady group, a Distorted Humor chestnut out of 3x stake winner Misty Rosette who exchanged decisions with Swap Fliparoo in 2006, dusting her in the G3 Old Hat for Jim Chapman before finishing behind her in the G1 Test..


Best Value: #2 Native One 6-1 WON ($9.30)
Next Best: #7 Sweet N Discreet 6-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #1a Minx 5-1 4th


6th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

#6 Galaxy Jet (10-1) is one of several Peggy Vandervoort products that has moved in recent weeks from Campo Jr. barn, this one going to Carlos Martin. Younger half brother Jet Set Cat won in first try under Mitch Friedman's care last week at a generous 15-2 and was claimed by Chris Englehardt. Galaxy Jet was beaten a scant 2 lengths v. state bred MSW company 6/16 and now drops to $25k open claiming maidens. As a sidebar in today's 2nd race, Friedman has Ralph Bianculi's #8 La Busta (also 10-1) making her first start since leaving the Campo shed..

Best Value: #6 Galaxy Jet 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Richbelle 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Our Pink Ribbon 5-1 4th
Super Add: #2 Monticello Doll 20-1 WON ($54.00)


7th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Inimitable Romanee 2-1 WON ($5.40)
Best Value: #4 Mah Jong Madness 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 (POE) Love Stanza Chance 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Quiet Ending 5-2 4th


8th: CLM, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Irksome group of conditioned claimers..

Most Likely: #1x Remand 2-1 6th
Best Value: #9 Tom Cat Allie 12-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Bomber Boy 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 A Boy Named Em 6-1 5th


9th: 27th Poker (G3), 3+, 1m-T (DD)

SCR #4 Monument Hill who runs at MTH in the Red Bank..

ATR listeners got great insight from Andy Serling Tuesday about the kind of horse to consider as a price play in a race like this. Andy will use the Green Hills homebred #10 Voodoo Storm (10-1) with favored Compliance Officer because the McGaughey trainee has been much better in his return to the grass as a 4yo and looks to have upside yet. By Storm Cat, the colt is out of the truly outstanding Voodoo Dancer (Kingmambo) who won more than she lost for Clement (21/11-4-2; $1.4MM) and counted the Diana, Garden City, Palomar and Beverly Hills among her 7 graded stakes victories. Voodoo Storm was a little slow at 2 and through most of his 3yo season, but began to improve later in the year and turned the corner at Keeneland in April with a grass ALW score. The late runner missed rallying late here 5/13 under Leparoux and get Rosario today in a spot where the pace up front should be no less than solid..

Most Likely: #1 Compliance Officer 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #10 Voodoo Storm 10-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Right One 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Clear Attempt 6-1 WON ($19.80)


10th: NY-MSW, 3+, 1m-T

As I said yesterday, #7 Trainingforsuccess (15-1) SCR'D and #8 Frisky Cat (10-1) are as good and as plausible as 2-1 fave #11 Windafull. Hell, 30-1 Professor Chaos from Kerry Metiver, saving ground and getting the 5# is nearly as likely as Windafull and the next couple of ML choices..

Best Value: #8 Frisky Cat 10-1 6th
Next Best: #11 Windafull 2-1 WON ($5.30)
Exotics Use: #1 Professor Chaos 30-1 5th
Super Add: #5 Papa Tom 20-1 4th


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 1-4-8
8: 1-2-4-9
9: 1
10: 1-3-5-7-8-9-11-12

3x4x1x8 = 96 x .50 = $48


Good luck!
Steve
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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Last edited by Kasept : 07-04-2012 at 05:05 PM.
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Old 07-04-2012, 10:25 AM
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BEL SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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Old 07-04-2012, 10:50 AM
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hondo hondo is offline
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Hi Steve

In 10th, looks like they scratched the #7
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  #4  
Old 07-04-2012, 02:02 PM
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If I tell you it's Easter..
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #5  
Old 07-04-2012, 02:37 PM
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atolunch atolunch is offline
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BOOM GOES THE DYNAMITE!!!


Thanks and Congrats as always.

No sense waiting for dark, you're putting on your own fireworks!!!
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Old 07-04-2012, 03:01 PM
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casp0555 casp0555 is offline
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Wow
Of course I left the two off my triple Great job Steve
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  #7  
Old 07-04-2012, 05:05 PM
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$57k BEL C/O THURSDAY
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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Old 07-04-2012, 07:33 PM
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dagolfer33 dagolfer33 is offline
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Thanks to your alleged unprofitable ticket strategies and so forth, I keyed your top with the rest and snagged that $616 trifecta in the sixth, thank you very much Steve!!
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Old 07-05-2012, 06:20 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dagolfer33 View Post
Thanks to your alleged unprofitable ticket strategies and so forth, I keyed your top with the rest and snagged that $616 trifecta in the sixth, thank you very much Steve!!
David..

That's super! Well done.. And thx.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #10  
Old 07-05-2012, 06:23 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by atolunch View Post
BOOM GOES THE DYNAMITE!!! Thanks and Congrats as always. No sense waiting for dark, you're putting on your own fireworks!!!
Quote:
Originally Posted by casp0555 View Post
Wow Of course I left the two off my triple Great job Steve
Larry.. Casper..

THX.. Hope everybody had a great 4th!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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