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Old 02-10-2012, 07:35 PM
Calzone Lord's Avatar
Calzone Lord Calzone Lord is offline
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Default Derby Noms

Top Beyer through this point in 3yo season for the last 20 KY Derby winners:

2011: Animal Kingdom 84
2010: Super Saver 93
2009: Mine That Bird 79 (also ran a 77 and 78)
2008: Big Brown 90
2007: Street Sense 108
2006: Barbaro 102
2005: Giacomo 98
2004: Smarty Jones 105
2003: Funny Cide 103
2002: War Emblem 86
2001: Monarchos 103
2000: Fusaichi Pegasus 95
1999: Charismatic 85
1998: Real Quiet 102
1997: Silver Charm 110
1996: Grindstone 90
1995: Thunder Gulch 99
1994: Go For Gin 100
1993: Sea Hero 99
1992: Lil E Tee 90

Mine That Bird was the slowest at 79. Charismatic (who twice ran for CLM tags) and Animal Kingdom were tied for second slowest at 84.

* Of the 398 horses nominated to the Derby -- 122 of them Have run a 79+ Beyer. The rest of them would be clearly slower than Mine That Bird (who had three straight figures in the High 70's - all routing on synthetic) and can be tossed.


Nominations spiked this year -- and people nominated a lot more unraced horses and bums than normal.

There are about 100 horses nominated who've run at least a 79 and have either raced since last November or have been working for a race.


16 of the last 20 Ky Derby winners have run a 90+ Beyer by this point.

There are 25 such horses nominated and they include the likes of Overdriven (No races or workouts since last July) and Renee's Got Zip (Filly sprinter)

17 of the 25 are included in Derby Future pool #1.


Inevitably -- one or two pretty decent unnominated horses will get supplamented for $6,000 in March. However, since nominations spiked this year, that's not a certainty.
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