BIG SATURDAY: Stakes Galore..

[Kasept]

The Belmont Opener proved as tricky as predicted with a $40k carryover already available going into Saturday's Triple Gr. I card. The Garden City, Gazelle and Man O'War will all be part of the Race 5-10 Pick Six which begins with and ends with impossible Maiden Specials on the lawn, the 5th for some premium horseflesh at a mile and the 10th for state breds at 8.5f.

Besides the action in Elmont, Delaware Park cards their Owners' Day with the Kent and Endine; Monmouth offers the rescheduled Red Bank where Miesque's Approval looks vulnerable; Turfway features the Gr. III Fall Championship; and Arlinton invites everyone to Pucker Up (Gr. III)...


SELECTIONS -- Belmont, Delaware, Monmouth, Turfway, Arlington (9/9/06)


Belmont Park -- Spot Play

1st: ALW/N2X, 3+, 1m-T

Opener has a prime play opportunity with several horses looking exceedingly good together as exacta/tri wagers underneath a Frankel standout...

1. #5 Rebuttal 7-2: Imported Frankel bay has bigger things ahead
2. #7 Planets Aligned 10-1: Kelly trainee delivered us best score of Toga meet
A. #4 Ever a Friend 9-2: Clement grey drilled swell, stretches out under Corey
D. #2 El Prado Rob 12-1: $250k winner wired claimers last visit here; Overlaid


PICK SIX SEQUENCE

5th: MSW, 3+, 1m-T (Superfecta, P3, P6)

A completely brutal way to open the P6.. Six or seven easily have a shot here..

1. #5 Quartier Blanc 12-1: Mott adds "L" & Gomez for Carson City's 3rd start
2. #9 Open Debate 5-1: Leparoux subs for Santos for Chief grey better on lawn
A. #10 Nasheet 20-1: Peitz-Shadwell trainee 0 for 15 but is better than that
B. #8 Marrouche 12-1: Castellano sticks with Kimmel bay that's always there
C. #2 Swinn 3-1: Hard to embrace as fave, but Swain bay will like stretchout


6th: OC/N1X, 3+, 6f (Grand Slam starts)

1. #6 Cotton King 9-5: Frankel-Stronach colt impossible to go against here
2. #1e J. Jerkens entry 5-2: #1 Mayo Post (NOW SCRATCHED)
A. #3 Bound Notebook 4-1: Hough bay 1st for $, goes T2D, gets Johnny V.
B. #2 Sinkwich 10-1: Trippi red was engulfed late by stakes quality Spa foes


7th: 28th GARDEN CITY BC (Gr. I), $250,000, 3yo fillies, 9f-IT (Superfecta, P4)

1. #1 Chaibia 12-1: Embracing value import that gets "FTL", hedge, brings Boeuf
2. #2 May Night 30-1: Crazy tab on Seitz red that closes like a safe door
A. #7 Magnificent Song 3-1: Likely choice exits classy score in Lake George
B. #6 Maxxi Arte 6-1: Cassidy loves Danehill Dancer red that zipped out West
C. #5 Jade Queen 8-1: Paulson-bred red from Pletcher on 3 race grass tear


8th: 111th GAZELLE (Gr. I), $250,000, 3yo fillies, 9f (P3)

1. #5 Pine Island 8-5: Phipps' miss less than 2 lengths from career perfection
2. #3 Last Romance 10-1: Dutrow bay should appreciate return to one turn
A. #2 Bushfire 2-1: Game Kenneally trainee got break; 2 for 2 in Gr. I's here
B. #6 Wild Fit 6-1: Poised for greatness in '05 but went amiss; Zipped in a.m.


9th: 48th MAN O'WAR (Gr. I), $500,000, 3+, 11f-IT (Late DD)

1. #6 Cacique 2-1: Return to BEL sod may be difference in great, tight group
2. #4 Cosmonaut 8-1: As fast as top ones; May have learned new trick at AP
A. #3 Showing Up 5-2: Secretariat winner faces elders; Would be no surprise
B. #2 Go Deputy 6-1: Mildly upset Sword Dancer and seems in career form


10th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-T (Superfecta)

1. #3 Cathedral Lodge 7-2: Donk gelding working well for return; Best came here
2. #11 Strikeuptheblues 3-1: Bush has been going scarey well; Bay 2nd last 3
A. #8 Jelly Roll Rumble 9-2: Gomez sticks with improving Duggan red gelding
B. #4 Saturday's Cat 5-1: Romans' runner chased from #12 last; Try 3 back wins

LONGSHOT ALERT/SUPER ADD-IN: #10 Egyptian King (12-1) "bolted" at Spa. Kelly going well and 4yo eligible to invade super on best..


<$100 Pick Six Play:

5: 5-9
6: 6
7: 1-7
8: 5
9: 3-4-6
10: 3-4-8-11

2x1x2x1x3x4 = 48 x $2 = $96


Delaware Park

10th: 42nd KENT BC (Gr. III), $500,000, 3yo, 9f-T (4:03pm)

1. #7 Carnera 8-1: KMc Old Trieste just missed versus ML fave 2 back
2. #3 Mercurius 30-1: Pletcher red by LDK beat elders 2 back; Found trouble last
A. #11 After Market 8-5: Hard to swallow odds-on on widely drawn Mott star
B. #4 Brilliant 6-1: Howard candidate scored in Gr. III Jeff Cup, stumnled in HOF
C. #10 Silent Roar 30-1: Moran grey chased lone speed Diabolical in Shuk


11th: 23rd ENDINE H. (Gr. III), $200,000, F&M-3+, 6f (4:30pm)

1. #5 Hot Storm 4-1: Stewart bay doesn't require lead; Has won 7 of last 9
2. #1e S. Klesaris entry 3-1: Trainer running 40% at meet; Pair 17/10-1-3 '05-'06
A. #2e L. Jones entry 2-1: Top conditioner gets Jara for #2 Hello Liberty
B. #6 Gilded Gold 8-1: Goldberg always a danger at a price


Monmouth Park

8th: 33rd RED BANK (L), $150,000, 3+, 1m-T (4:21pm) (Superfecta)

1. #2 Indy Wind 6-1: Swift on main, Tarrant red merits big shot in sod debut
2. #4 Hotstufanthensome 7-2: Pointer 6yo 5-4-0 in 9 Jersey lawn efforts
A. #5 Miesque's Approval 2-1: Wolfson's reborn Live Oak star may not get pace
B. #1 Pulpit Talk 10-1: Red Ransom gelding 3rd to Ashkal/Hotstuff in prep
C. #10 Old Dodge 5-1: Perfect in native Brazil, Horgan bay has been OK in N.A.


Turfway Park

9th: 57th TURFWAY PARK FALL CHAMPIONSHIP (Gr. III), $100,000, 3+, 1m (4:57pm) (Superfecta)

1. #10 Gouldings Green 5-2: Gr. III Seagrams winner tough at flat mile
2. #4 Free Thinking 5-1: Danner bay had nice spin over TP Poly to prepare
A. #8 It's No Joke 6-1: Sharp Maker's listed sprint stake winner cuts back .5f
B. #1 Tap Dancing Mauk 20-1: Bay gelding rarely misses board


Arlington Park

8th: 43rd PUCKER UP (Gr. III), $200,000, 3yo fillies, 9f-T (5:25pm)

1. #4 Precious Kitten 5-1: Plus price on Romans 3rd to 'Venice', 'Song' at Spa
2. #8 Ballet Pacifica 9-2: French import a third to nice Germance at Deaville
A. #7 Vacare 4-1: Bliock Lear Fan bay 2 for 2 on firm and yielding; Respect
B. #6 Royal Dazzle 30-1: Hal Wiggins at 30-1 with gal 6/1-5-0 since Feb.? OK!


Good luck!
Steve

Race 1
Either part of the Godolphin entry works for me. This is a nice competitive field, though either 1 or 1A could be odds-on and tower over this group. #6 OUTPERFORMANCE drops back to a level where he has been very competitive. #8 YANKEE MASTER might get a better trip than last time, and should be in the thick of it.
I will key 1 over the other two mentioned in the exacta, and possibly a tri, using a few others. I may well do that with #6 also.

Race 2
A crapshoot, unless you know something more. I somewhat like #5 LIBERTARIAN to improve with a better start and trip, plus a little jungle juice. Wonder why Mr.Evans sold this one. Tagg's #6 NOBIZ LIKE SHOWBIZ is working like a well-ment first-timer, and 1A BULLARA is the obvious chalk.
I might use these in the double, pik 4 and box them in the exacta.

Race 3
Wide open. #5 SIR HALORY has run his best here, and is probably better than his last. Zito's #1 GREAT POINT ran to within a length of Barbaro in the Gulfstream slop. A surprise return to that form would put him in the winner's circle. You can make a case for the others also.
An ALL button play in the pik 4.

Race 5
#12 PULPITEER deserves another shot, after a bad start last time. Today's post won't help the situation. Mike Maker's #7 CHARLES THE FIRST finished full of run in WV, and could light up the board here, in a possibly weak race. Same with the Ellis shipper #2 SWINN.
A GOOD RACE TO PASS IF THE CASH IS SHORT OR IF YOU ARE LIVE IN A MULTI-RACE GIMMICK.

Race 6
Obviously everyone sees #6 COTTON KING airing in here at a short price. 1A OZ may well improve after being caught in the middle of a pace duel last time. #4 SCANLON'S SONG is my bomb choice to fill the bottom of the tri.

Race 7
I like Jeremy Noseda shipping in here with #4 LA MOTTIE, who falls into a "must play" situation for me being a shipper who ran at Royal Ascot. This Noseda runner has to be here for a reason. #9 TAKE THE RIBBON was the victim of a poor ride out west, where he stayed on the rail far too long. A positive jock switch should help in a tough group today. #2 MAY NIGHT has surprisingly high power #s and could be a gimmick bomb along with #3 DELMARVA.
I will box these four in the exacta and tri.

Race 8
I love the fave #2 BUSHFIRE. She has been my bread and butter all year. But all good things come to an end. #4 TEAMMATE seems to be finally rounding into form, and I see this one and BUSHFIRE as setting it all up for the closer #5 PINE ISLAND. The one-turn nine furlongs should play against the speed. The plodder gets up today, unfortunately. #6 WILD FIT will also be keyed on top in case she is finally ready and the others are sub-par today. I would have rested BUSHFIRE until Ky.Cup day at Turfway or the Keeneland Spinster.

Race 9
I would not be surprised to see #7 RELAXED GESTURE bounce out on the bill and take this all the way. Hopefully #6 CACIQUE will lay back early. I would avoid #3 SHOWING UP if he is even money or less.

GOOD LUCK TO EVERYONE!

[Kasept]

Main track listed as "Moist"/ Fast... Turf "Good"...

Rest of the moves: http://www.nyra.com/chart/today_pf.a...9/2006&track=B

[Sightseek]

My apologies if the norm is to start your own thread...

Race 1 - 8 Yankee Master / 5 Rebuttal / 4 - Ever a Friend

Race 2 - 5 Libertarian / 1a Bullara

Race 3 - 2 Five Star Thief / 5 Sir Halory / 3 Luxembourg

Race 7 - Best horses IMO 1, 7 & 9....taking a shot w/ 2 May Night

Race 8 - 5 Pine Island

Race 9 - 2 Go Deputy

Race 10 - 12 Stately Pegasus