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#1
01-16-2011, 08:02 AM
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1/16: Aqueduct ($25k C/O); Santa Anita (P4, $46k Hi-5 C/O)
Missed widely and frustratingly Saturday through most of the proceedings at Aqueduct & Gulfstream before connecting at end of cards for slight gains in the Big A nightcap ($36.75 tri) and Sugar Swirl ($94.90 tri) at Hallandale. Am getting slightly miffed at finding GP horses like Dr. Smarty Jack, who drew in to the 8th and was a fat 13-1, and watching them come up just short at the wire. Not sure what else Elvis Trujillo could have done to get the "W", as short-priced Citrus Kid, whom I was looking to beat, just kept going in the stretch. Dr. Smarty Jack paid $14.20 to place, but a win from him delivers the P4 for between $1,000-$1,250. Uggh.
As I've been writing, it's challenging every race, every day at Gulfstream, and I'm taking the day off from Hallandale with a $25k carryover at Aqueduct on a fun card, and a $46k Super Hi-5 carryover at Santa Anita at the end of the nice P4 sequence. Speaking of Pick-X sequences, the P6 at Santa Anita went to a single winner Saturday for $118k. People are so down on California that they only bet $221k into the P6 pool and $504k into the Late P4... AQUEDUCT POST-SCRATCHES 4th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 6f (P6, P3, DD) You can protect 2-1 fave #5 Sin and the City in the P6, but gleefully play against him within the race. He beat less than nothing at Philly on a notorious speed track. Note race two back for turnbacker #1 Eltish Star who was sandwiched between two impressive next out winners in Driven by Solar and Winning Touch. Had no chance last time trying to close into slow route pace.. Best Value: #1 Eltish Star 4-1 2nd Next Best: #4 E Knows Why 7-2 5th Exotics Use: #3 Six Flings 12-1 4th 5th: CLM/N1Y, 4+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD) Need to note the passing of trainer Faustino Ramos, a victim of a heart attack at age 70 Thursday. Ramos, who started in the U.S. working for Bennie Perkins Sr. and around the game more than 3 decades, posthumously sends his final starter here in #9 Banking Holiday. Ramos last win came in September with Gentle Ride, and he enjoyed success in ALW company recently with In for a Dime. His stakes winners included Punchline Patty, Sam’s Sunny Halo, and Lovely Fiona.. (Alas, Banking Holiday has been SCR'd).. Most Likely: #4 Saints Alive 2-1 7th Next Best: #7 Mr. Magenta 5-2 WON ($5.20) Best Value: #5 Morine's Victory 15-1 4th Exotics Use: #3 Undocumented 8-1 6th 6th: MDN CLM, 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Quite a lesson in racehorse economics in this event with $625k Sensei, $170k All My Chips, $160k Soldier of Destiny and $350k Seeking Anita all looking for a Maiden victory at the $12,500 tag level.. Best Value: #2 Seeking Anita 6-1 WON ($10.40) Next Best: #10 Sensei 8-5 5th Exotics Use: #9 All My Chips 3-1 3rd Super Add: #4 Mystic Era 20-1 2nd (at 65-1) $1 Exacta (2-4) Paid $157.00 $1 Trifecta (2-4-9) Paid $584.00 7th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #4 In Her Hey Day 3-1 WON ($4.30) Best Value: #10 Southern Sunsation 15-1 5th Next Best: #1 Dance Card Filled 5-1 4th Super Add: #7 India Hermosa 6-1 8th $1 Pick 3 (7/2/4) Paid $58.25 8th: Lady On the Run, F&M-4+, 1m (DD, Super) Best Value: #4 Wind Caper 3-1 2nd Next Best: #5 Quiet Giant 7-5 WON ($3.60) $1 Pick 3 (2/4/5) Paid $34.50 9th: CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 6f (Super) Most Likely: #11 No Goal 3-1 2nd Next Best: #7 Roaring Belle 5-1 4th Exotics Use: #3 Charmed 8-1 6th Super Add: #9 Why Then 6-1 WON ($11.80) <$150 P6 Play: 4: 1 5: 2-3-4-5-7 6: 2-9-10 7: 4-10 8: 4-5 9: 11 1x5x3x2x2x1 = 60 x $2 = $120 <$50 P4 Play: 6: 2-9-10 7: 4-7 8: 4-5 9: 3-7-9-11 3x2x2x4 = $48 $1 Pick 4 (2/4,6/5/9) Paid $175.50 SANTA ANITA POST-SCRATCHES 6th: CLM, F&M-4+, 1m (P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #6 Sweetsouthernqueen 5-2 5th Best Value: #7 Malusita 4-1 2nd Next Best: #1 Misinjennuous 7-2 7th Super Add: #2 Tamerin 3-1 WON ($11.60) 7th: OC/N2X, F&M-4+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super) Feels like a contentious pace is in the offing here.. Most Likely: #6 Hemera 3-1 WON ($7.60) Next Best: #3 Andina 2-1 3rd Exotics Use: #2 Calle Vista 5-2 2nd Super Add: #4 Gripsholm Castle 4-1 4th 8th: 47th El Encino (G2), 4yo-F, 8.5f (DD, Super) Great to get the likes of established MGSW Blind Luck, Always a Princess and Champagne d'Oro back running early in the year, as well as see how much more upside there is on fillies like Malibu Pier and It Tiz.. Most Likely: #2 Blind Luck 4-5 2nd Best Value: #6 Always a Princess 4-1 WON ($9.80) Next Best: #3 Malibu Pier 3-1 5th Super Add: #1 Champagne d'Oro 6-1 4th $1 Pick 3 (2/6/6) Paid $160.20 9th: MDN CLM, 4+, 5.5f (Super, Super Hi-5) $47k Super Hi-5 C/O Here.. Most Likely: #1 Resplendently 7-2 WON ($5.60) Best Value: #7 Our Last Monte 9-2 2nd Next Best: #10 Naturaliste 9-2 6th Exotics Use: #6 Gifted Student 4-1 3rd Hi-5 Play: #11 Indiana Nana 10-1 4th $1 Exacta (1-7) Paid $18.40 $1 Trifecta (1-7-6) Paid $65.50 $1 Superfecta (1-7-6-11) Paid $349.90 $1 Pick 3 (6/6/1) Paid $113.70 <$75 P4 Play: 6: 1-2-6-7 7: 2-3-4-6 8: 2-6 9: 1-6-7-10 4x4x2x4 = 128 x .50 = $64 $0.50 Pick 4 (2/6/6/1) Paid $316.55 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 01-16-2011 at 06:53 PM. 
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#2
01-16-2011, 09:22 AM
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You should chair the Eltish Star fan club. Tough beat in the Pik 4 yesterday. GP has had a lot of random results. The ole dart board might have a better ROI then even the best of 'cappers. 119 for Big Drama.. ok just another real nice horse running just another really huge figure?
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#3
01-16-2011, 10:05 AM
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I do love me some Eltish Star. I've been betting Paulino Ortiz overlays since the late 80's... I botched that GP P4 in more ways than you know actually. Have to keep kicking at the can there though because finding and playing horses like Dr. Smarty Jack (13-1), In Speight of It (35-1), Molly Malone (30-1), Sweet Theresa/Romin Robin (20-1/17-1), etc., will get it done regularly enough over the course of the meet to justify the heartbreakers.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 01-16-2011 at 10:58 AM.
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#4
01-16-2011, 10:09 AM
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Valdivia off the 3 Zito mounts today (6th-8th). Eddie Castro on...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#5
01-16-2011, 10:10 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#6
01-16-2011, 10:37 AM
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#8
01-16-2011, 02:03 PM
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Wow, great stuff. Thanks for making me look at Mystic Era.
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#9
01-16-2011, 02:29 PM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#10
01-16-2011, 03:11 PM
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Congrats to Gary and Nat on Seeking Anita's win in the 6th at Aqueduct - and after such an abominable start.
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I l  Cigar, Medaglia d'Oro, Big Brown, Curlin, Rachel Alexandra, Silver Charm, First Samurai, Sumwonlovesyou, Lloydobler, Ausable Chasm, AND Prince Will I Am "Be daring, be different, be impractical, be anything that will assert integrity of purpose and imaginative vision against the play-it-safers, the creatures of the commonplace, the slaves of the ordinary.” Cecil Beaton
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#11
01-16-2011, 05:27 PM
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Remember Steve, Tyler is only 17. Its a big step for him to come to AQU, still learning.
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#13
01-16-2011, 06:49 PM
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Great job Steve! Could have nailed the e5 if the 10 wouldnt have gotten pinched at the rail.
__________________
"Let the whiners and lazy cry about how impossible "they've" made it to win at this game." - Steve Byk
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#15
01-16-2011, 07:12 PM
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Thanks guys. Was a good day... Hope all did well!
(And we get an extra day of hijinks too!)
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#16
01-16-2011, 07:13 PM
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#17
01-16-2011, 07:19 PM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#18
01-16-2011, 07:21 PM
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#19
01-16-2011, 08:00 PM
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awesome work today Steve.
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