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#1
07-15-2007, 06:31 AM
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7/15: Belmont/Delaware
Have been slightly swamped with transition of "At the Races" to Upstate NY; the trip to Arlington for Sumwonlovesyou, and preparations for Saratoga with Carolina Barbecue.. Sorry for the dearth of Selections... Very fun card at Belmont today with an excellent edition of the Bowling Green as the lynchpin. Delaware has the 2nd day of big stakes as well with an 'all-feature' P4 looking like a good play... Also, note that the 2nd leg of the Canadian Triple Crown goes this aft at Fort Erie with the $500,000 Prince of Wales...
BELMONT PARK PRE-SCRATCHES 4th: NYB-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P6, P3) 1. #6 La Ransom 4-1: Ran into Glacken's Girl in bow; A. Dutrow 2nd start.. 2nd 2. #4 Dana Dew 5-1: R. Dutrow FuPeg debuter was Nerud-bred.. 4th A. #1 Bet the Diva 2-1 WON B. #5 Snare 6-1 8th 'SIRE TO WATCH': #8 Hook's Inca 20-1: Likely not worth a bet, but am anxious to watch these 'Hook and Ladder' babies run. "H&L" was a terrific racehorse.. Late Scratch.. $1 Exacta $7.50 5th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 8.5f-T (Grand Slam, P3, Superfecta) 1. #1 Questioning 12-1: 3rd off break, coming around with better to run back to.. 2nd 2. #2 True to Tradition 5-2: Live Oak homebred with Kimmel returns to lawn.. WON A. #9 Solewisher 4-1 3rd B. #7 Grosvenor Square 6-1 6th LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #8 I'm a Fax 15-1 9th $1 Exacta $54.75 $1 Trifecta $315.50 6th: HCP/S, 3+, 1m (P4, DD) 1. #7 Deeliteful Guy 12-1: Value play with 8yo in sharp form.. 3rd 2. #1e Indian War Dance 3-5: Obvious most likely winner scratched yesterday.. WON A. #9 Fire Hero 8-1 2nd B. #4 Fit Faze 12-1 4th LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #6 Hi Time Scott 15-1 6th $1 Exacta $4.95 $1 Trifecta $22.70 7th: NYB-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, Super) 1. #3 Sweet Corredor 4-1: Tesher miss has come back '07 a new gal.. 8th 2. #8 Miss Blarney Stone 5-2: Dynaformer ex-patriot negotiated rush hour last.. 2nd A. #5 Nedjma 5-1 WON B. #6 Cagey Girl 7-2 7th LONGSHOT/SUPER ADD: #7 Point Me to It 15-1 3rd $1 Exacta $21.00 $1 Trifecta $385.50 8th: 50th Bowling Green (Gr. II), 3+, 11f-T (DD) 1. #1 Trippi's Storm 8-1: Reformed Hough claimer continues ascent.. 2nd 2. #5 Shakis 2-1: KMc-Shadwell 7yo has enjoyed his visit to U.S. so far.. 4th A. #3 Sunriver 9-5: Lawn debut great, but looks underlaid here.. WON B. #6 Fishy Advice 5-1: Streaky sort from Donk may appreciate added ground.. 5th 9th: NYB-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (Super) To quote a noted NY handicapper, "I loathe" the 5-2 favorite (#7) Kat's Golden Ways.. 1. #8 ODETTA ONE 12-1: Sciacca bay is value play o' day; Repeat of last scores.. 4th 2. #4 Karakorum Elektra 8-1: Note 7th results; Exits 6/17 affair (Sweet Corredor/Miss Blarney).. A. #9 Cori's Star 5-1 WON B. #7 Kat's Golden Ways 5-2 3rd @$50 P4 Play: 6: 1e-7 7: 3-7-8 8: 1-3-5 9: 4-8-9 2x3x3x3 = $54 <$100 P6 Play: 4: 4-6 5: 1-2 6: 1-7 7: 3-8 8: 1-3-5 9: 8 2x2x2x2x3x1 = 48 x $2 = $96 DELAWARE PARK "Pay no attention to the morning lines behind the curtain.." 8th: 12th Light Hearted, F&M-3+, 5f-T (P4, P3, DD, .10 Super) 1. #9 SMART AND FANCY 9-2: Appears to lay over; Will take some to beat.. WON 2. #2 Truly Blushed 6-1: Lake red rarely runs a bad one.. 2nd A. #10 Spanish Lullaby 7-2 3rd B. #7 Queen Amira 6-1 $2 Exacta 9-2 $27.20 $1 Trifecta Box $45.10 27th Caesar Rodney, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, .10 Super) This field heavily hit by scratches.. ML prices especially won't apply.. Jet Propulsion; Host; Woodlander; Drum Major and Yate's BC all ran Saturday.. 1. #7 Silent Roar 12-1: Returned '07 a new animal; Should be priced right.. 3rd 2. #1 Silver Tree 9-2: Million dollar winning Mott 7yo always viable.. WON A. #9 Defer 12-1 B. #4 Ballast 6-1 2nd $1 Exacta $9.00 $1 Trifecta $22.10 The 'Barabaro' (really the Gr. III Leonard Richards), 3yo, 8.5f (DD, P3, .10 Super) 1. #1 King of the Roxy 2-1: Not thrilled with Team Valor colt, but fits this set well.. 2nd 2. #7 Longley 6-1 On three race roll and time is now for black type move.. 4th A. #3 Hal's My Hope 8-1 B. #4 Point Blake 10-1 72nd Delaware H. (Gr. II), F&M-3+, 10f (DD, .10 Super) 1. #6 Indian Vale 2-1: Simply the kind of race Pletcher never fails to win.. 2. #3 Asi Siempre 3-1: Can't find last time Snake Charmer's mare missed a check.. A. #1 Peak Maria's Way 8-1: Gorham DQ'd from NY Derby win Saturday; Grey a player.. B. #2 Lila Paige 15-1: Inviting tab on 'moved up' Levine 6yo.. LONGSHOT/SUPER ADD: #5 Ice Cool Kitty 12-1: Lansdon Robbins' NY bred not far off top ones.. <$50 P4 Play: 8: 9 9: 1-7 10: 1-3-7 11: 1-2-3-5-6 1x2x3x5 = $30 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 07-15-2007 at 04:23 PM. 
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#2
07-15-2007, 07:53 AM
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Thanks for the selections, Steve. I'll check if the squirrells at DEL agree (they work for peanuts). Might want to watch the top of the card to see how the track is playing. In 7 of the 10 races yesterday, including the upset in the Oaks, the horse on the lead at the first pole won.
__________________
Ticket Seller: All kind of balls... Bodyguard: One of his is crystal.
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#3
07-15-2007, 08:11 AM
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Steve, I love that you picked Trippi's Storm on top- gives me more confidence. . .
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#5
07-15-2007, 09:54 AM
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See the Trip Notes section for more on Trippi's Storm.
Someone spotted this one a while back I believe. Best of luck to all today!
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#6
07-15-2007, 09:58 AM
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Quote:
Glad to see people appreciating/utilizing the Trip Notes Room... "There's goldin them thar hills..."
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#7
07-15-2007, 10:06 AM
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Quote:
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#8
07-15-2007, 10:11 AM
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Has been talked about a lot actually...
Thread 1: http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/sho...ippi%27s+storm Thread 2: http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/sho...ippi%27s+storm
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#9
07-15-2007, 10:15 AM
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Quote:
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#10
07-15-2007, 10:29 AM
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Snake Charmer??? LMFAO
Love the fact that S and F is your single in the Del 4. Good Luck to those playing today!!
__________________
"A person who saw no important difference between the fire outside a Neandrathal's cave and a working thermo-nuclear reactor might tell you that junk bonds and derivatives BOTH serve to energize capital" - Nathan Israel
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#11
07-15-2007, 10:49 AM
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What do you think post time odds will be?
Quote:
2-1? PSH
__________________
"Everybody's honest, when they can afford to be." Benny Binion
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#12
07-15-2007, 10:53 AM
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I can see anywhere's between 9/5 - 5/2...I think Prado, Velazquez, and Rose's mounts will take some money as well.
__________________
"A person who saw no important difference between the fire outside a Neandrathal's cave and a working thermo-nuclear reactor might tell you that junk bonds and derivatives BOTH serve to energize capital" - Nathan Israel
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#15
07-15-2007, 02:36 PM
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Late Pick 4
6) 1 7) 1,3,6,8,10 8) 1,5 9) 1,7 $20 Good luck
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#17
07-15-2007, 03:25 PM
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Great job in the 8th, Steve, hitting the stone cold tri. Is that a generous pick 4 payout or is it me? My assesment of S and F's post time odds were waaay off.
__________________
"A person who saw no important difference between the fire outside a Neandrathal's cave and a working thermo-nuclear reactor might tell you that junk bonds and derivatives BOTH serve to energize capital" - Nathan Israel
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#18
07-15-2007, 03:38 PM
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Quote:
Quote:
The Delaware linesmaker does a TREMENDOUS DISERVICE to bettors with the horrible job making lines like he did on Smart and Fancy.. Not reflecting how dominant that one was there scares people off from appropriately judging when formulating plays. 9-2? She looked 1-2 there to me... I'm waiting to see the race (Ch. 12 up here), but I didn't see how she could lose.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#19
07-15-2007, 03:40 PM
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Folks, it is of this person's opinion that the best bet you get make this year, and possible of the century is a 1-5 exacta box at Belmont.
5-1 is paying $44 1-5 is paying $66 If you are broke, go sell blood in the next 4 minutes and get to your local OTB, PRONTO
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