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Old Yesterday, 09:44 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,453
Default 11/3: Aqueduct (6th-9th; X-C P5); Oaklawn (3rd-11th)

AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: S/ALW, 4+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Social Hour 7-2 4th
Best Value: #3 Porosity 4-1 WON ($8.70)
Next Best: #8 Pair of Socks 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Uncle Jim 4-1 6th


7th: Busanda, 3yo-F, 1m (P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Two Bits 6-1: Developing; 1m MSW breakthrough fits here.. 2nd
Next Best: #5 Dazzling Dame 5-2 WON ($6.24)
Exotics Use: #2 Britain 3-1 5th


8th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 1m (X-C P5, DD)

Best Value: #1 Buttah 6-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Bermuda Blitz 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Brazenly 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #3 Dettori 8-1 7th


Cross Country P5 Grid:

AQ 8: 1-2-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
AQ 9: 7-8 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)
OP 8: 6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
OP 9: 3-7 (A), 5 (B), - (C)
OP 10: 1-7 (A), - (B), 4-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (AAAAC): 3x2x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (4-5 in OP 10th)


9th: NY-ALW/N1X, 4+, 7f

Most Likely: #8 Vibrant Express 5-2 WON ($6.88)
Next Best: #7 Crescendo's Rein 4-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Unbroken Chain 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Twohonestmischief 7-2 2nd


P4 Grid:

6: 3-5-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 4-5 (A), 2 (B), - (C)
8: 1-6 (A), - (B), 2-3 (C)
9: 7-8 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x2x4 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AACA): 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (2-3 in 9th)



OAKLAWN


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: OC/N1X, 3yo, 1m (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Misinformation 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Treadstone 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Opus Uno 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Bricklin 9-2 WON ($16.60)


4th: Renaissance, 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Dirty Rich 1-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Obliteration 7-5 WON ($3.40)
Best Value: #5 Canned Heat 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Strong Potential 5-1 5th


5th: MSW, 3yo, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Keep an eye out for Coty Rosin's AE/SCR Spike the Punch wjhen he enters back..

Best Value: #2 Bienville 15-1: Asmussen FTS o/o Miss Evelyn's MGSW Minit to Stardom.. 3rd
Next Best: #11 Mr Fancy Pants 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Just Jo Jo 10-1 4th
Super Add: #8 Reclamation 5-1 WON ($15.00)


6th: S/ALW, 4+, 1m (Classix, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Dynamis 30-1 9th
Next Best: #1 Right On Right On 7-2 12th
Exotics Use: #10 Master Mule 5-1 4th
Super Add: #3 Stoke the Fire 10-1 7th


7th: AR-OC/N1X, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 STORMBENDER 20-1: McBride returns first out Arky winner; All aboard! 12th
Next Best: #12 Zippy Mark 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Nicolai 9-5 WON ($3.80)
Super Add: #8 Hess 10-1 7th


P4 Grid:

4: 1 (A), - (B), 6 (C)
5: 2-11 (A), 3-8 (B), - (C)
6: 1-2-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 7-12 (A), 5-8 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x4x3x4 = $48 ($24 for .50)
All A's: 1x2x3x2 = $12 ($6 for .50)
Backup (CAAA): 1x2x3x2 = $12 or $6 for .50 (6 in 4th)


8th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Super Cruise 3-1 WON ($5.00)
Next Best: #8 Dance Some Mo 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Myra's Boy 12-1 11th
Exotics Use: #3 Render Judgement 2-1 10th


9th: Commodore-R, 4+, 6f ($3 Get Out P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Banjo Chris 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Echo Again 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Concrete Glory 9-5 9th
Super Add: #1 Thoughtthatcounts 10-1 3rd


$3 P3 Grid:

9: 3-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 6-9-11 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 3x2x3 = 18 x $3 = $54


10th: Smarty Jones, 3yo, 8.5f ($5 DBL)

Best Value: #7 Strategic Risk 6-1 WON ($7.00)
Next Best: #1 Universe 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Rancho Santa Fe 5-2 5th
Super Add: #4 Silent Tactic 12-1 2nd


$5 DBL Grid:

10: 1-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 3-6-9-11 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 3x4 = 12 x $5 = $60

$5 DOUBLE (7/11) Paid $60.50


11th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 6f

Murderous nightcap where there's simply too many need the lead types for the pace not to boil over..

Most Likely: #6 Vital Mind 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #9 Map to the Stars 12-1 DNF-Lost rider
Next Best: #11 Stiglets 7-2 WON ($4.20)
Exotics Use: #3 Itsinmyblood 20-1 7th


P5 Grid:

7: 7-12 (A), - (B), 5-8 (C)
8: 6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 3-7 (A), 5 (B), - (C)
10: 1-7 (A), 4-5 (B), - (C)
11: 6-9-11 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x2x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (CAAAA): 2x2x2x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24 (5-8 in 7th)


P4 Grid:

8: 6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 3-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-7 (A), 4-5 (B), - (C)
11: 6-9-11 (A), - (B), 1-2-3 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x4x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAAC): 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (1-2-3 in 11th)


Let's get lucky!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.

Last edited by Kasept : Today at 07:57 AM.
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  #2  
Old Yesterday, 11:52 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,453
Default

AQU SCR/CHG'S

OP SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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