Hollywood 5th can anyone tell me?

can anyone tell me why the 8 horse is currently the 9-5 fave?!!
I know he had some trouble last out but I didn't think it was enough trouble that he definitely would have won the race.
His figs are marginal, and Spawr has been 11-12% all year long.
What exactly am I missing here?
We went 3 deep and didn't use him.