Quote:
Originally Posted by Calzone Lord
How well Bodemeister performs if he's 4th or 5th about 3.5 lengths off of the pace is really the question...and I think it's basically a guess-work question.
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I think over the long run betting against Bodemeister-type horses is positive expectation for that reason... there's some guess work. It's hard to pair-up a big effort where you were loose on the lead with no opposition... much less in the Derby. Lots of talent there though.