Quote:
Originally Posted by Calzone Lord
Phil, I've seen that bet pay less than the parlay when a couple of improbable longshots win.
There was nothing even remotely special about that Santa Anita p5 I posted. The point was that it transformed a sequence of mostly terrible non-competitive betting races with small fields and hopeless toss-outs into an advantageous situation.
The Gulfstream p6 is generally made up of several attractive betting races with large fields, often wide-open races.
The more sensible thing to do is to target the race or two in the sequence where you most have an edge.
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Of course that happens, it happens in multi race wagers all the time. If pool size < parlay it is guaranteed to happen. Hell Even the lowest day relative to parlay at SA was "normal" results (2 2-1, 2 4-1, 1 11-1).
The p5 at SA is obviously a good wager with the low takeout, I'm not suggesting otherwise. But we completely disagree what constitutes worthwhile sequences for multi race wagers. I'm looking for difficult sequences where I can possibly hit a separator horse or two. Singling the same horse as everyone else in a mundane sequence doesn't help me.
If you play the pick 6... And have scrutinized every race, who's to say you can't play the races individually as well?