Yes, posting polls from last April was very helpful, Hooves
Pollster Dates Pop. Romney Obama Undecided Margin
Gravis Marketing NEW! 10/30 - 10/30 549 LV 50 47 4 Romney +3
(Gravis generally runs with a 4+ GOP sampling bias, so that puts Obama up 1)
JZ Analytics/Newsmax 10/27 - 10/29 828 LV 47 48 5 Obama +1
PPP (D) 10/26 - 10/28 687 LV 48 49 3 Obama +1
CNN 10/25 - 10/28 770 LV 50 49 1 Romney +1
(CNN generally right on)
Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS NEW! 10/23 - 10/28 1,073 LV 47 48 3 Obama +1
SurveyUSA 10/25 - 10/27 595 LV 47 47 5 -
Rasmussen 10/25 - 10/25 750 LV 50 48 1 Romney +2
(House of Ras is very GOP leaning)
Yes - the above show that the national popular vote is close. But it's who wins each state, even by 1 vote, that matters in the electoral college.