Quote:
Originally Posted by freddymo
If you bought 18000 foals from 4 years of keeneland sales you would have a result that is indeed representitive of your post.
If you buy all the yealings listed in the spotlight you would be fortunate to win 4 G1 races in three years..Dont you agree? Do you really think 2 of these will win more then 2 G1 races in their careers?
When you sell 70% of the best breed TB's each year shouldn't at least as many be G1 winners?
My point, which is a good one, is most of these special foals will be frogs. These "special walks", "amazing character", "superior scope" stuff is beyond humorous.
How does Nick Zito find G1 winners for 100 to 300k and others find frog after frog at 1mil to 3 mi.. Has Besilu won a race yet with a yearling they purchased?
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If you're asking how I would approach it with a bankroll, my own personal inclination would be for modest priced purchases with upside deeper in the catalog. With all the Monday Stakes recaps I do with connections, I'm always struck by how many 'inexpensive' horses win well.
The watch lists that Dede Biles, Glenye Cain Oakford and the TDN people compile are simply the most recognizable siblings, pedigrees and buzz horses. They're conversation starters offering points of reference out of the hundreds, and at KEE September, thousands of pages.