Quote:
Originally Posted by NTamm1215
This notion that because Mike Smith says he was within himself means that Trinniberg not being there wouldn't have mattered is NONSENSE.
If Trinniberg is not in the race, Bodemeister does not have to go 45 and 1/5 to get a clear lead, and he doesn't have to shade 1:10 to stay in front. Take Trinniberg out and he would have had a comfortable lead over Hansen going a bit slower at each point of call.
When speed horses get clear leads, that does not mean that they suddenly lose any excuse for losing. Using that ridiculously flawed logic, you will hold losing against a speed horse with complete disregard for the pace they set.
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that's your narrative and that's fine. I have a different one. You act like if Trinniberg isn't in the race you have a 100 percent clear idea of what happens in that race. You simply have your opinion that's all. My opinion is that Bodemeister likely sets a fast pace in that race regardless of the other animals. I think it's just as likely to opine that the reason Hansen was going slower was the fact that Trinniberg was in the race. Bodemeister lost to Creative Cause when not on the lead and rank and challenged. He set a very fast pace in Arkansas and blew them out. He did the same thing yesterday and beat Creative Cause. Perhaps it was a tad fast, I don't know. He beat 18 horses.
Tell me how slow Bodemeister's pace was in Arkansas again. It wasn't. My opinion is if Smith strangles the life out of the horse to let Trinniberg get a clear lead is useless. The horse is fast, he set very fast fractions in Arkansas. Of course the pace affected him...it was the pace, not Trinniberg that affected him. I simply cannot concede that everyone here knows so much that they are 100 percent sure what he runs pace wise if Trinniberg isn't there. I dont' believe any of you. the horse is fast.