Quote:
Originally Posted by joeydb
Great job Doug. I'd definitely watch and "youtube subscribe" to your channel.
I did have a couple of questions:
1) Do you find the presence of a speed duel to be reliably predictable before the race?
2) When you say efficiency in your analysis, do you mean from a Brohamer percent energy usage point of view, saving ground in the run, both, or neither?
I think your analysis has some real value and I'm just trying to see how I would use it in my own approach to the race, before it is run of course.
Again, awesome idea and great format. I love how you showed all the data you were referring to and formatted it for easy viewing, along with the run itself since I am not much of a trip handicapper on my own.
Joe
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Doug will have a much better answer for you... But do you follow Aqueduct? I have been betting Aqueduct almost daily and its getting really frustrating. On paper you have anywhere from 3-5 speeds, and 1 horse gets a soft lead. Its been going on all winter. So for question #1 I would say its almost impossible to predict it. What looks like a collapse on paper, a lot of times turns into a 1 speed number around the track.