Quote:
Originally Posted by lemoncrush
A few months ago, I posted that I was skeptical of Uncle Mo winning the Derby, citing his blow-out debut victory sprinting late last summer. My theory was that in general, 2-year olds who crush the field sprinting at Saratoga or Belmont don't develop into classic-distance horses. But to help Uncle Mo's cause, Smarty Jones, Funny Cide and Grindstone all won their debuts by open lengths in a sprint race.
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Silver Charm also won an extremely fast 2yo MSW race at Del Mar going just 5.5fs .. albeit that was his 2nd start.
Giacomo is the only real closer who never showed a lot of early speed at one-time.
Real Quiet was a speed and fade going 5.5 furlongs early on.
Charismatic blew several early leads - including some sprinting.
Monarchos led after a half mile in a very sharp 7f MSW win
Street Sense broke his maiden laying just a half length off of 21.60 and 44.20 fractions sprinting.
Mine That Bird was a multiple stakes winner sprinting at age 2 - and blew a pair of leads at the 1/4 pole in his two preps at Sunland.
Basically - if you haven't shown good early speed at one point ... you'll most likely plod home 3rd or 4th if all goes well. The horses who run 3rd or 4th are often among the last ones to press the reset button.