Quote:
Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985
If it was a prep then maybe thats a big problem with the game.
|
What? That horses are flesh and blood and can't be expected to run their top race every time they run?
Quote:
|
What about all those bettors that made him odds on?
|
Those are the bettors that you make money off of. The one's that don't see the big picture (BC
Preview Day) or recognize today's conditions (lone speed horse, Haynesfield, a multiple winner over the track and distance) may not be ideal.
The same type of bettors that "overreact" to the progression or regression of a horse. Blame had only been favored in one stakes race in his career up to that point, the Grade 3 Schaefer at Pimlico. He was suddenly a monster because he beat the much lauded Quality Road at Saratoga.
The same thing occured, full circle, with Unrivaled Belle this year. She trumped uber-filly Rachel Alexandra and therefore became an instant "monster", going off at odds-on in 2 of her next 3 starts. Yet fans had enough of her runner-up efforts in those races, including a 2nd in the Beldame (yet another perfect "prep" if you look at the big picture), and let her go off at 7-1 in the BC Distaff.
Quote:
|
He really should have run 3rd, if Fly Down could just figure things out.
|
That would have been great. Then those with your mentality might have really got off him and let him get away at 8-1 or so.