Quote:
Originally Posted by hockey2315
How have you been capitalizing, DrugS? I've been trying to find the horse who I think will get the lead and just betting that one to win for the most part. I'm up, but the lack of a good wagering menu is killing me.
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You'll die when you see the good liquidity Betfair has on many of these races. I don't think I've ever seen a track where as many short priced horses can be tossed without caution due to projected wide trips and an almost hopeless chance of getting inside.
I'm obviously doing well because of the track - both in the paper and through betting. But I never end up catching these insane mega longshots like the one who won the last race.
* Last time out - the horse breaks from post 11 in an 11 horse field
* Two starts back - it breaks from post 9 in a 9 horse field
* Three starts back - it breaks from post 5 in a 6 horse field going 2 turns
So ... in it's last 3 races ... it's been drawn inside of a grand total of one horse .. and now it gets post 2 and it's 34/1 against dogsh!t.
The problem is that I can't bring myself to even stab at those kind of horses when they suck bulls - and this one didn't even have any speed and was cutting back to 5fs.
The jockey on the 5 horse got loose - but like a typical 8-for-233 jockey would - he kept the horse well off the rail the whole way while setting the pace. I have a good idea which jockeys are idiots and which ones aren't .. but sometimes you hope and they always fail you.