Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
Steve Asmussen A. P. Indy debuter Astrology goes in todays 6th race.
This one has a few things going for it on the bottom of the pedigree - it's a half sibling to a horse who won it's debut going 4.5 furlongs at KEE by 7 lengths - the mother's win came at 5.5fs, and several of the workouts identically match Wine Police and it would appear as those two have worked in company more than once.
About 12 jumps or so in, so many of these young A. P. Indy horses come right off of the bit in sprints. A lot of riders like to hustle away and settle by that point in these races at Saratoga.
I remember a NY Bred A. P. Indy of Husion's that was bet to 1/2 favoritism in his debut at Saratoga. The horse broke fine and seemed to be in a great spot - and all of a sudden the horse comes off of the steel and Jerry Bailey is pushing and shoving like hell - even going to the whip repeatedly and in all out drive about 1.5 furlongs into a 6 furlong sprint. All of the other riders are chilly and as you're watching this you're like "this favorite is going to stop and get beat 30 if he isn't eased entirely" .. but despite all of that - the horse keeps grinding to finish 2nd despite being in an all-out drive for almost every step of the race after breaking well and having a great early spot.
The horse who won the race was a Kat DaMassi horse who lost his next 20+ races, many at the 5K N2L claiming level at Philly Park. That horse never won again. The A. P. Indy debuter that finished 2nd made almost 400K in his career. The chart comment for him simply said "trouble with footing" He ran one more time at 6fs later in that meet and finished off the board as the favorite.
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So are you saying history can be made today or we should bet against it?
