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Originally Posted by Kasept
Really? Name 'quite a few'... The Swept Overboards and Aldebarrans of this event ALWAYS struggle.
Elmhurst and Lit de Justice are the only Sprint winners who came from anywhere further back than 5th after 2nd call in recent memory.
If you're not in the first 5 in the Sprint by the half mile mark, you're DONE.
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Don't disagree on Aldebaran-types, but he wasn't a 6F horse (in fact he had never run at that distance). I have no idea why they made him the favorite, especially considering the venue. The more reasonable favorite would have been Shake You Down in my mind... that being said, in the same race, the 2nd place finisher came from the clouds (and nobody was catching Cajun Beat that day!)
I think you can make the argument that any horse in ANY 6F race that's not within 5 lengths of the lead at 6F is DONE (unless their name is Silky Sullivan or Ghostzapper.)
Perhaps i didn't phrase my statement correctly. I believe if DC went in the sprint, he'd be 4th-6th in the early going- he's got plenty of early pace. What I meant was, I'd prefer a horse with tatical speed and a good closing kick (but proven at 6F) over a one dimensional speedball in the Sprint any day.