Quote:
Originally Posted by philcski
I also think it's fair to say that Friendly Wager was higher than 6/5 in the pick 4, as I expect a lot of pick 4s to single a 6/5 and there's no way he was a single on most tickets. If you cut the 3rd race winner to $8, take 80% of races 2 & 4, you are still higher than the parlay value. Even making those reasonable assumptions (and ignoring the fact that the runner in the 5th was probably higher than 12-1 in the pick 4 given there were three solid choices in the race and two others ordinally ranked ahead)- the payoffs were low relative to what would be expected.
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There was $20 on the winning combination. Surely you understand that the payoffs become random given the prices of the last two horses...especially, in this case, given the excessive play in the win pool on Roderick that probably came close to doubling the win price of the eventual winner...and thus greatly increasing the parlay.