Quote:
Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985
Im not really an exacta player, and If Dublin did not run I would be the first on here. Hes not my main play or whatever I think the chalk will be really tough to beat, but like Ntamm said at or around 20-1 IMO hes worth using.
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Seriously though, why Dublin? D. Wayne hasn't won a stakes race with a 3YO in like 8 years. Why not, say, Super Saver- who will be the same price, and has a win over the track, beat Dublin on the square, and a better chance to move up on Derby Day?
And again, while discussing contenders early especially in the Derby is important, don't lock yourself in 3 weeks out. Go back and watch every race. Digest the results and think about what really should happen. Formulate a way how each horse could potentially win. Step back and evaluate the prices at which these horses will be versus the way you decide each could potentially win. Remember the other day when you were supremely confident in Warrior's Reward? You gave a situation how and why he was going to win, at a bonus mutuel. Just because you bet Dublin in the Ark Derby doesn't mean you need to bet him again in the Ky Derby.