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Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER
I'm saying throw out the races that took place at Anita on March 6th. You see that little rat trying to hold on from the 1 hole against Zenyata? They couldn't run that hog down for place. I know that was a fkd up inside speed biased track. Look at the huge move from Interactif on the turn. That's an inside move. Caracortado wasn't getting his moneysworth out there. He ran his same race, but he was running on a much heavier surface than the top 2 were running on. The horse who won the 5th? Never been able to hold on before at Anita. No matter how slow the pace. He'd always been caught. March 6th he found something he really liked. Tap It Light couldn't get to him with the wide move (same as Caracortado couldn't make up ground out there.) Tap It just came back to win the Grade 3 feature on Saturday. You should excuse horses that tried to make outside moves on March 6th. No matter what this guy does next, excuse anybody trying to make a wide move on March 6th.
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I really wanted to give you the benefit of the doubt here and took a look at a single race to see if there was a bias against outside runs. The race I looked at was the 7th, where Alphie's Bet was wide throughout, was in the 4th path on the turn, entered in the 4 path (which, btw, is where Coracortado was) and blew them away in the stretch. Now, this was a multi-move race and AB got a decent setup but this kind of works against your theory. You'd be better served to try to understand race types and the timing of moves.