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Old 03-06-2010, 10:07 PM
philcski's Avatar
philcski philcski is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Mission Viejo, CA
Posts: 8,872
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I'm still not convinced this contest is kosher. Everything has scored for me OK, but that's not the issue. The leader currently has 10,672 points- which sounded awfully high to me given that a fair number of horses aren't even available for selection (for example, the top two finishers in the Kilroe.) I looked at the stakes today to determine the maximum available points to date (assuming that allowance/claiming results are really irrelevant given the point structure):

Big Cap- G1
misremembered 2500
jeranimo 1000

SA Oaks- G1
crisp 2500
blind luck 1500
cozie rosie 500

Sham- G3
alphies 500
setsuko 400
the program 300

Palm Beach- G3
paddy 500
dean's 400
asphalt 200
bim bam 100

Herecomesthebride- G3
---

Gotham- G3
awesome act 500
nacho friend 300
turf melody 200
shrimp dancer 100

Toboggan- G3
custom for carlos 400

Azeri- G3
---

Razorback- G3
gone astray 300

Cappy
golden ghost 225

Pasadena
mmfm 375
macias 300
alfarabi 225
runaway bandido 75

gentilly
heavenville 300

So given these results, the MAXIMUM point value for 12 horses today would have been 10,575-
Misremembered 2500
Crisp 2500
Blind Luck 1500
Jeranimo 1000
Alphies 500
Awesome Act 500
Cozie Rosie 500
Paddy O' 500
Setsuko 400
Dean's Kitten 400
Custom for Carlos 400
Make Music for Me 375

In essence, he would have had to use ALL of his horses today, and not only that but select the absolute best possible outcome (or very close to it, given the maximum jockey points to date is about 300.) It seems statistically unlikely that someone would (a) actually use all of their horses on the first day, and (b) have the correct outcome with it.
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