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Originally Posted by kgar311
Im calling foul, if your horse is really working 103 and change in the mornings how do you know what you have? When every one unloaded on this horse where they simply guessing that this might be a good horse? Not one work justified that this horse open up even money especially a first time 2year old filly starter coming out of the 12 hole.
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You sometimes know. It is also the other way around. They can work lights out and then throw duds in the afternoon.
Works on paper mean absolutely NOTHING. I only look at the progression if that is even there.
A perfect example is something that is happening at Keeneland. There has been a bunch of horses that have been coming off layoffs and they have had only one work on the page, it is because they have been working on the guys farm or a layup facility, and those places don't have to give times.