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Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
Top 5 losers of last weekend:
#1. American turf females: Salve Germania was no better than 3rd in seven consecutive turf races in Europe. She was 4th in a listed stake in Germany last out. She would not have even been a favorite in a par N1X allowance race. To make matters worse, she wasn't exactly getting a nice break in weights either.
She ran off in the post parade. She acted up behind the gate. She was forced to close wide into the teeth of VERY slow fractions. It all didn't matter... she beat a par Grade 2 field of American Turf horses.
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As long as you keep on interpreting these races in terms of FRACTIONS rather than how they're actually run, you'll just never get it. Once again, it's about WHEN you move in these races NOT how fast they're going. This filly last moved a field where everything else had already run before her. In your mind she ran AGAINST it, due to the slow early fractions. In point of fact, she got a perfect setup and the pacesetters, who'd set those dawdling
fractions, got the worst of it.