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Originally Posted by the_fat_man
Excellent ROI for your exacta boxes. (I'm assuming you're counting the box as 2 bets.)
Your lowish ROI for win bets, given your fine hit rate, is probably due to being constrained to provide a daily best bet opinion at this particular venue. I have no doubt that if you were providing a daily best bet (or bets) covering a number of tracks, allowing you to better pick your spots, your ROI would probably be around $2.40 or so. I haven't played PID much at all, as I'd said I would. I get the sense, however, that it's every bit as difficult, if not more so given the quality of horses, than WO. And, GG, HOL, SA, and TP, are ****in snacks compared to WO.
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The quality of horses has been dreadful there this year. Some horse in the 1st today was 12-1 ML, was 100-1 in his first two starts, showed nothing, and opened at 4/5. Closed at 7/2 and won after looking hopelessly beaten on the turn.
What's hilarious to me is Doug's ROI, writing for the Erie Times-News, is so much better than the biggest racing coverage newspaper in the country's daily 5 handicappers (who all average worse than the takeout on their BEST meets, and play into an infinitely larger pool.)