Quote:
|
Originally Posted by philcski
Phil's Expected Odds:
Rachel Alexandra 2-1
Mine That Bird 4-1
Pioneerof The Nile 7-1
Big Drama 9-1
Papa Clem 10-1
Musket Man 10-1
Fresian Fire 10-1
General Quarters 20-1
Take the Points 30-1
Terrain 30-1
Flying Private 50-1
Luv Gov 50-1
Tone it Down 50-1
|
Wow, I'd like 9/1 on Big Drama and hope you are right and I am wrong about what his price will be.
Remember Bernardini was 13-1 in this race. I'd expect Big Drama to be 8-1 or 10-1.
Bernardini was 13/1 because of Barbaro being in the race, but you are right, Bernardini and Big Drama had pretty similar resumes heading into the Preakness. Key difference is Barbaro won the Derby that year and Mine that Bird won it this year.