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Originally Posted by eurobounce
I dont let odds influence what I bet.
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That is a huge mistake, IMO. Identifying the horse most likely to win the race is not enough.
I never make a bet unless I think the odds justify the bet. That does not mean I would never bet chalk. I would (and have!) bet a 3-5 shot if I thought it had a 75% chance to win the race. I'll also bet a 60-1 shot if I think the odds should be 40-1.
Unless you are the beneificiary of a truckload of inside info, you need to have some idea what fair odds are for a horse before you bet it.
--Dunbar