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Originally Posted by dellinger63
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Not if you are trying to make a fair odds line as a handicapping tool. What you want is your best estimate of each horse's true chance of winning.
If you are trying to make a morning line, then, yes, you factor in the track take. My spreadsheet has that as an option, too. But the original poster was interested in a fair odds line.
--Dunbar
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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