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Originally Posted by freddymo
If the horse cost 170k or 700k it doesn't mattter.. You are missing the most important point.. His staff and or trainers would not have put the horse in the race if they thought he was not capable of competing and succeeding without incident.. The guy just lost 700k plus 18 months of training and vet fees use common sense did he need the 50k? He was told the horse was OK and that is the important part.. Remember this horse had how many workouts since the layoff without incident?
The last thing a guy needs is a horse to die on him and the thought that he but the horse in the race to hopefully get 50k is nuts
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All of this is just speculation. (Admittedly, I'm assuming a few things as well.) I know that injuries are a part of racing; the soundest horse can take a bad step, and tragedy can occur. Sometimes accidents happen; sometimes, there are accidents waiting to happen, and this seemed like the latter. In this regard, this situation was reminiscent of the incident when Cadillac Cruiser broke down at Aqueduct last February. He was dropping off a good effort at $25,000 to $7,500 and broke down on the clubhouse turn. Under the cirsumstances, tough to call it strictly an accident.
You mentioned his workouts. Doesn't it raise a red flag that he was shipped to Keeneland from Churchill and that his last two workouts were over the Polytrack rather than a conventional dirt surface? And then he's dropped precipitously in price.