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Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
I honestly think predicting races will be key races is about as laughably a stupid concept as I have ever heard in racing.
Key races, by their very nature, can't be uncovered until horses run back. And, furthermore, a true key race is NOT ( necessarily ) one where two or more horses win their following starts.
But, hey, people should believe what they want to believe.
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Supposed "key" races usually have a lot more to do with where the trainers spot the horses next out. I think these days, the only real edge is if you think a race is getting a speed figure that comes back lower than the horses are capable of running, for whatever reason.