Quote:
Originally Posted by philcski
The winner of the Illinois Derby has gone off at:
2002: 21-1 (War Emblem, won)
2003: 6.6-1 (Ten Most Wanted, 9th)
2004: 24-1 (Pollard's Vision, 17th)
2005: 21-1 (Greeley's Galaxy, 11th)
2006: 5.5-1*favorite (Sweetnorthernsaint, 7th)
2007: 19.8-1 (Cowtown Cat, 20th and last)
All had similar credentials coming into the Derby as Recapturetheglory- I think you're underestimating the betting public's knowledge of the race.
And celebrity selections don't drive the odds when there's $50-75 million in the win pool...
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Did Ten Most Wanted really go off at 6/1? And SNS at 5/1? LOL!
Maybe you are right and Recapture the Glory will go off closer to 10/1.
Hes a very nice horse, just not for this particular race.