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Originally Posted by SentToStud
Well, cmorioles proclaims a day later he was obviously the worst horse going in. You agree? No big deal and congrats if you did.
If you saw this before the race and bet the right way, you got paid pretty good as the tri paid $65. Keying AGS over all ex-Sightseeing turned a 1/5 horse into 9/2 or so.
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Here were the exacta prices with 1 MTP:
2-1 $4
2-3 $12
2-4 $23
2-5 $10
Let's look at it a different way... would you have taken even money on Sightseeing to beat the other 3? My personal feeling was NO WAY. You didn't have to have much handicapping insight or genius, just read and interpret what the board had. A $12 exacta doesn't sound all that great... but when it's the "most likely result" it's the same as betting a 5-1 shot to win.
Redboard disclaimer:
I played my normal win bet on the 2-3 combination and 2/3 of one on 2-4. The effective return on the race was about 7/2 for simply not liking Sightseeing. Didn't play the tri but a $65 return was more than generous.