Leg D (Race 11): 23RD RUNNING OF THE PRINCESS ROONEY HANDICAP (GRADE I). $500,000, F&M-3+, 6 FURLONGS.
1 - SONGOFTHESOUTH (Douglas Potter / Eddie Nunez)
Concerto filly came out of nowhere with that last effort, running a new top by 13 points on the BSF scale and 4 1/2 points on the TG scale in taking a local N3L by 5 1/4 over a sealed track. Could've been that last nuance that contributed to the big effort, but perhaps she's turned a corner. She gets in very light and has shown versatility. Still seems to be on the outside looking in.
2 - NOSSA CANCAO (A.C. Avila / Omar Berrio)
CA shipper did some good things in the winter, namely run a big second at 37-1 in the G1 Santa Monica H. at SA, although she's struggled to recapture that form since. She always seems to come with her run, but it rarely ever seems to be enough to get her across the wire first. Berrio confident enough to fly cross-country for the ride and closers usually fare well in Summit races, but she looks like an outsider at this point.
3 - INDIAN FLARE (Bobby Frankel / Aaron Gryder)
Juddmonte mare certainly is very good when at her best, but it seems to take her quite a while to get back to her top after a big race, and she's coming off a very big effort with her score in the G2 Vagrancy H. at BEL. Dangerous and versatile, but questionable as to whether she can avoid regression.
4 - SELVATICA (Julio Canani / Jorge Chavez)
Lightly-raced six-year-old certainly is familiar with the winner's circle, having scored seven times in 12 starts, including six of eight since summer of '05, and she's been earning very good figures in the process. Problem is, she's a need-the-lead type who will perhaps be racing against some other quickies as well as the grain of the racetrack. Gets the acid test.
5 - MARYFIELD (Doug O'Neill / Elvis Trujillo)
Elusive Quality mare ran a big one two back in the G2 Distaff BC H. on the AQU inner, scoring by 2 1/4 despite trouble at 6-1, but she was far up the track in the G1 Humana Distaff and now her regular pilot, Chavez, ends up aboard the girl to her inside. She's very tough when on her game, but that big AQU win is clouded by a lot of other unimpressive flops in graded stakes competition. Can't endorse her.
6 - SHAGGY MANE (Don Chatlos, Jr. / Cornelio Velasquez)
CA-bred filly has proven to be a very valuable $12,500 claim, reeling off four of five following the purchase, including the $300,000 Sunshine Millions Filly & Mare Sprint before fading in the Humana Distaff last out. Willing to forgive that effort, as it just seems like six furlongs is her maximum distance, and she cuts back to it today. Problem is there is an abundance of speed in this race and Chatlos has admitted that he's willing to go :43 and change to outrun Selvatica early. Not sure that's the smartest strategy on this oval. She's a tough customer, but going to try to beat her on top.
7 - G CITY GAL (Todd Pletcher / Chris Decarlo)
Another speedster in a gassy field, this NY shipper scored under a confident ride in MTH N2X last out, and she certainly developed into a useful little runner last year, actually running third in last year's Azalea BC despite being steadied twice in the lane. Decarlo in for the ride, she's got good figures and gets in pretty light. Just a matter of how far she can lay back.
8 - RIVER'S PRAYER (Paula Capestro / Clinton Potts)
Devon Lane gray comes into this tugging a three-race winning streak, but it wasn't exactly against terrors on the SA and HOL grass, although she did beat Indian Flare, a contender in here, in the G3 Las Cienagas H. She's pretty unproven on dirt though, and she hasn't shown the ability to stalk or sit off the pace. Pass.
9 - TRUE AND TRUE (Wesley Ward / Frank Alvarado)
Bay four-year-old came back off a lengthy break to run third in the $45,000 No Winking locally, a reversal from her strong form at the end of her sophomore season. Other than the layoff, she didn't have much of an excuse, and not sure how much she's going to improve second back, considering that she drilled like she meant it for her return.
10 - MYKINDASAINT (Bubba Cascio / Gerard Melancon)
LA shipper hasn't taken to the grass much, but ran a big one turf-to-dirt two back, scoring by 3 1/4 at 25-1 in the $73,000 Pan Zareta BC at FG. Didn't show much in her last start over this oval, popping and stopping in the Azalea BC. Nevertheless, she's been working well, will have her regular rider, has a barn that's superb off the layoff and will be a huge price. Mykindaplay.
11 - STOLEN PRAYER (Eddie Plesa, Jr. / Manoel Cruz)
Comes into this off the best race of her life, an impressive score by 4 1/2 in the $50,000 Ema Bovary, and if she repeats that effort (1 3/4 TG), she's got a puncher's chance. Wide post isn't ideal though, so Cruz will have to do a lot of maneuvering to give this filly a real shot.
12 - DIXIE DREAMER (Marty Wolfson / Jermaine Bridgmohan)
Should benefit from plenty of pace in the race, and the barn switch to Wolfson (who's hitting at 34% this meet) can only be positive, but she's yet to run a race big enough to suggest she can win this. Wouldn't count her out of the exotics though.
13 - MIRACULOUS MISS (Steve Klesaris / Jose Lezcano)
Dead closer comes in off a layoff of over seven months, but if there's one runner in here who should get a beneficial setup, it's this one, and she's proven the ability to win at six furlongs despite spotting the field double digits. Main issues are the huge field, making navigation potentially difficult in the stretch, and the potential for nasty weather, as her worst run came over a wet track. Still mighty dangerous considering the fractions they're likely to run.
13 - Miraculous Miss
Devastating kick picks 'em all off in the lane if run is clear and track is fast
7 - G City Gal 3RD
Dangerous if able to pick up from year end form
6 - Shaggy Mane 2ND
Cutback to six panels makes her pretty darn scary
3 - Indian Flare
Harbors potential if able to watch duel from afar
Last edited by ateamstupid : 07-07-2007 at 06:48 PM.
|