Or alternatively, these horses are not that good. How would one be able to tell the difference? Was the pace real hot or were the horses not that good? Is there a way to tell? A daily variant? Perhaps but 10f on dirt is only run 2 or 3x a year so we dont really have much data pts. to go on.

Its like an age old question: does good pitching beat good hitting? Well how do we know? If this guy strikes out was it a good pitcher or a bad batter? Both? Does defense win football games? Or was the offense that bad? We could go on and on..

Had this discussion a few days ago on the PA forum. No one responded to my rhetorical question of how to determine which it was..

In terms of history, 1:11+ is not hot (the half mile in 46+ was). If memory serves only one horse has gone sub 1:10 and won (Spend a Buck); several have gone 1:10+ and won..But 1:11+ is prolly about in the middle. You dont have to look at it in terms of history, but was the track playing that slow...?


BTW: I read your post 27 after I posted and that post is a better and more insightful version of what Davidowitz is trying to say. If that was the summary of his piece I prolly wouldnt have wrote that.