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Originally Posted by philcski
Great point, in the P6 you almost HAVE to have a solid chalk to stand on or it makes the wager financially impossible to hit. Even if there's 2-3 favorites that win in the sequence the payoff can be well into the 5 figures. Heck, yesterday at SA (NYCOTB was taking no bets for Easter... SOL for all here... I would have played your ticket or a slightly expanded version) 4-5 favorites won and the P6 STILL paid almost 10x the win parlay. The great book "Exotic Betting" by Steve Crist makes the point that in a P3 sequence your 'expectation' is 1 of the 3 races will be won by a favorite, which really opens your eyes in multi-race wager strategy!
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Take Santa Anita on Saturday for instance... ALL/ Smokey Stover/ALL would have cost 100$. (10*1*10)...Paid over 6 boxes of ziti!!! NOone had foreseen the horse that paid 126.00 in the race previous to SS... Smokey Stover was they key here...Catching a price in the 1st and 3rd leg was crucial, being how everyone used SS as a single..It rarely works out this way (over 6 grand), but when it does, I kick myself in the ass for not thinking about it..Had I known the front enders of the SA derby were gonna cook each other, I would have made this bet...Hindsight is 20/20..My eyes almost rolled out of my head when I saw the payout..Sheesh