Thread: Chelokee
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Old 04-03-2007, 08:54 PM
pgardn
 
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1 Street Sense $1,332,000
2 Scat Daddy $1,308,500
3 Circular Quay $1,116,134
4 Great Hunter $730,000
5 Stormello $642,900
6 Birdbirdistheword $637,000
7 Notional $472,000
8 Jack Junior $400,000
9 Hard Spun $360,000
10 Nobiz Like Shobiz $328,500
11 King of the Roxy $280,000
12 Xchanger $202,890
13 Curlin $180,000
14 Officer Rocket $153,260
15 Cobalt Blue $150,000
16 Cowtown Cat $137,253
17 Zanjero $130,000
18 Ketchikan $120,000
19 Sedgefield $120,000
20 Liquidity $116,200
21 Adore the Gold $114,387
22 Bwana Bull $110,000
23 Any Given Saturday $102,969
24 Chelokee $100,000
25 Teuflesberg $85,442
26 Sam P. $56,500
27 Joe Got Even $56,445
28 Air Commander $50,000
29 Storm in May $27,500
30 Summer Doldrums $21,334


So lets see what happens here for Chelokee to get in. Stormello should probably not run. His outspoken owner/trainer has indicated he will not unless the horse shows he wants to. Birdbird should not run. But the Giacomo effect might take place for a hoplessly slow horse. Jack Junior is in other parts and does not appear capable... right? If Nobiz bombs in the Wood and pulls some strange act again with blinkers, he most likely would not go. I think if Curlin or Cobalt Blue bomb, they wont go. If Liquidity shows poorly in Santa Anita, I doubt he would go. The Blue grass is loaded. I would think that if Hard Spun, Any Given Saturday, Street Sense, or Great Hunter run a ratty race(no clean excuses), you would get rid of one of these (or on the other hand, horses considered lesser Zanjero, Sedgefield could lose both). So the Blue Grass could possibly be a big eliminator. Ketchikan does poorly in the Arkansas. I dont know if Pletcher sends King of the Roxy at the distance. Cowtown cat... if he blows it, I dont know as Pletcher has a wealth of runners.

But then you have the problem of horses below, like Summer Doldrums, Sam P., etc... doing the opposite and showing they might belong. Looks tough, but not impossible, even with no injuries.

Then again if the poly trackers that lose, they might really look at it as a prep and go anyway. Why did I even type this, its too far out.
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