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Originally Posted by pick4
If you have access to replays watch Santa Anita's 1/13/07 8th race. Midnight Lute was 4 wide around both turns and made up ground on the second turn to gain the lead. He was leg weary in the stretch and caught by Awesome Gem.
I think the inside post plays to Midnight Lute's advantage here. If he does not regress off his last race he should win the Strub.
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At what point do you think that a "Bounce" would be for a horse that went two turns for the first time and is lightly raced.
BD is not the play and Midnight Lute could Bounce.