Quote:
Originally Posted by moses
Well I sucked yesterday.
144 wagered but only 108.90 returned. I don’t have much time today so here are my two picks.
Best bet: Race 7 - #3 With the Moonlight 5/2 ML
Best value: Race 5 - #5 Tribal Queen 6/1 ML
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With the Moonlight looked strong but the price wasn't great, paying $6.60 total for win and place. Tribal Queen was bet down and was terrible.
Total wagered: $152.00
Total returned: $115.50
Wednesday, August 10.
Best bet: Race 10 - #7 Running Bee 4/1 ML, Brown/Franco. When reviewing this race, I was originally leaning toward Evan Harlan, who I think will be a nice price and is certainly eligible to win this race. But the more I looked at Running Bee, the more I liked him. Last out winner Capensis moved into the allowance ranks in his next start and though disappointed as the favorite, ran well. The third place finisher last out returned to break his maiden. I think there will be some value here as Brown/Irad will get plenty of interest but I prefer this Chad horse...and note that Brown/Franco have been hot since Belmont and have a positive ROI in their last 51 starts together (last 60 days). I think this one may be a little more forwardly placed this time as there isn't much speed in the race, though Saez and Lezcano could try to battle each other. I'm not sure the pace will matter all that much as I think this one is just better than the others in here and with a good ride from Franco, should win.
Best value: Race 5 - #4 Be the Boss 15/1 ML, Trombetta/Castellano. I generally do not like to bet 3YOs against older in turf routes. But, I'll make an exception here if the price is right. This one drops in for a tag and should be running up front early. Javy has been riding well lately so I'll trust him to set the pace and try to make them catch him.