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Originally Posted by miraja2
Pedigree does matter! There are always going to be exceptions to the rule, but if a horse like this 2yo breaks his maiden impressively (I just watched it, and damn it WAS impressive) the fact that he is by a horse that won the Derby, Belmont, and Travers makes it MORE LIKELY that he will like the added distance of races like the Champaign or the BC Juvenile. Are there horses that run differently on the track then their pedigree indicates? OF COURSE! But in general there IS a reason that a horse like Thunder Gulch had a higher stud fee than some other - less accomplished - stallions. In addition to being by Thunder Gulch, this 2yo's dam (Circle of Life) was also a G1 winner. This pedigree + an impressive debut = a horse to watch for the major 2 yo stakes this summer and fall.
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You make a valid arguement, but to say that there's "better bred" horses that are waiting to run and will be better horses, because of their pedigree, that's nonsense. There's also reasons why high priced horses are busts as well, remember Checkov, we had people annointing him as a great horse, because he cost $4 million, where's he today, has he cleared NW1X?