Quote:
Originally Posted by 3kings
The fractions last year were moderate and they were again this year. It's a small sample size but I think it will be more the norm than in the past. It is not a sure thing than horses like Stanford will break well and frankly be good enough to influence the race like pure speed horses of the past. The days off accomplished pure sprinters like Trinniberg making it to the Derby are gone and so is the guarantee of a pace melt down.
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I think you're always going to get one of those rabbits that freak and get into the race, the question is whether they go or even break well enough to go. Even with the Stanford scratch, I figured on a couple of other horses going.
I thought Ocho was going to have to go from the rail, Materiality broke poorly and I'm guessing it was a good time to experiment and try to rate with Mr. Z
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It's still its gonna be a crapshoot. There is so much racing luck needed in a 20 horse field. I just think in this years case, the 3 best horses had clean trips.