Quote:
Originally Posted by cmorioles
If he stays that close, there is almost no chance he has that kind of kick at the end. Huge late runs are almost always an illusion.
|
Of course, but he wouldn't need that kind of kick to win from that position. He had triple digit Beyers in his first two career starts, which were both at 6f, being on the pace or just flanking it, so I don't think my theory is that flawed. He had a last quarter in 23 4/5 and 23 2/5 in those starts as well. I'm not saying he would have come home that quickly off a sub 44 half, but it shows he has the ability to kick even being up close. Even if he was 3 lengths off the lead in the BC, he would have needed a 24 2/5 last quarter to definitely win. I don't think that's unreasonable.