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-   -   Nice race today at Aqu (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=33776)

Gander 01-14-2010 09:40 AM

Nice race today at Aqu
 
Race #8:
1 Weathered (NY) 5/M L M J Luzzi 123 K M Grusmark 2/1
2 What a Pear (NY) 4/F L R Migliore 120 P L Reynolds 12/1
3 Dean Henry (NY) 5/M L C Hill 118 T Albertrani 15/1
4 By the Light (NY) 5/M L R A Dominguez 120 R E Dutrow, Jr. 5/2
5 Sapphire Sky (NY) 4/F L C C Lopez 120 D G Donk 5/2
6 She's Prime (NY) 4/F L J F Chavez 118 M Miceli 15/1
7 Gold for the Queen (NY) 4/F L D Cohen 120 C Baker 10/1

Unbelievable how bad What a Pear has gotten since she started out on fire this time last year in NY (I think whe won her first 4 races). Seems like ever since they shipped her to run on the junk at Keeneland shes been dismal. I like her to get back to her winning ways today with the trainer change to Reynolds. Shes about the only value in the race.

randallscott35 01-14-2010 09:40 AM

I do not like By the Light in that race I can tell you that.

Gander 01-14-2010 09:47 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35
I do not like By the Light in that race I can tell you that.

I'm with you there. Not off her last and as the no doubt favorite in here.
I'm also going to take a shot against Weathered, even though every time I am against her, she kicks me in the nuts. I'm making a box of What a Pear and Sapphire Sky, and betting the former to win. I'll use both in my horizontal bets as I am singling the Contessa in the 6th. Good luck Randall. May you win enough to pay for your wedding and take your wife to Hawaii for the honeymoon.

NTamm1215 01-14-2010 09:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gander
I'm with you there. Not off her last and as the no doubt favorite in here.
I'm also going to take a shot against Weathered, even though every time I am against her, she kicks me in the nuts. I'm making a box of What a Pear and Sapphire Sky, and betting the former to win. I'll use both in my horizontal bets as I am singling the Contessa in the 6th. Good luck Randall. May you win enough to pay for your wedding and take your wife to Hawaii for the honeymoon.

I'm guessing you have some serious steam on the Contessa horse in the 6th to be singling her. That race is ripe for the picking anyway because the ML fave is a joke.

If I were singling a 5-1 firster in the opening leg of the Pick 4 I'd definitely keep from being knocked out by horses like Weathered or By the Light, whose respective records against NY breds are outstanding. This might be a smidge too far for By the Light, but what was so bad about her last race?

NT

ateamstupid 01-14-2010 09:56 AM

I don't know if What a Pear was ever that good. Her big win in the Busher was aided big time by the biggest golden rail of the season. She is 4-for-4 on the IT though. Seems to be a good deal of speed in the race, maybe Dean Henry gets the setup at a price.

randallscott35 01-14-2010 10:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gander
I'm with you there. Not off her last and as the no doubt favorite in here.
I'm also going to take a shot against Weathered, even though every time I am against her, she kicks me in the nuts. I'm making a box of What a Pear and Sapphire Sky, and betting the former to win. I'll use both in my horizontal bets as I am singling the Contessa in the 6th. Good luck Randall. May you win enough to pay for your wedding and take your wife to Hawaii for the honeymoon.

Not betting the race but I don't like Dutrow near the top 2 spots.

johnny pinwheel 01-14-2010 10:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215
I'm guessing you have some serious steam on the Contessa horse in the 6th to be singling her. That race is ripe for the picking anyway because the ML fave is a joke.

If I were singling a 5-1 firster in the opening leg of the Pick 4 I'd definitely keep from being knocked out by horses like Weathered or By the Light, whose respective records against NY breds are outstanding. This might be a smidge too far for By the Light, but what was so bad about her last race?

NT

i'm with him. i would not leave weathered off a pick 4 ticket against these.

Gander 01-14-2010 10:39 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215
I'm guessing you have some serious steam on the Contessa horse in the 6th to be singling her. That race is ripe for the picking anyway because the ML fave is a joke.

If I were singling a 5-1 firster in the opening leg of the Pick 4 I'd definitely keep from being knocked out by horses like Weathered or By the Light, whose respective records against NY breds are outstanding. This might be a smidge too far for By the Light, but what was so bad about her last race?

NT

I just thought By the Light looked like a horse over the top. I'll let her beat me. Now that Sapphire Sky is out, I will use Weathered in the pick 4 and not bet any exactas, just a win bet on What a Pear. No steam on Contessa's horse. I dont listen to any of that anyways. Just like his stats with firsters in maiden claiming spots. Not putting too much money in this pick 4 to get that concerned about. Going to do a $2 ticket going 1x4x2x4 ticket looking like this....

7/4,5,6,7/1,2/1,3,4,9

Good luck.

Gate Dancer 01-14-2010 12:37 PM

I think I'll get ahold of Mr. Peabody and Sherman and use the 'way-back' machine and give What A Pear one more chance.

randallscott35 01-14-2010 12:39 PM

I think it Takes A Pair to bet What A Pear in this race.

RockHardTen1985 01-14-2010 12:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215
I'm guessing you have some serious steam on the Contessa horse in the 6th to be singling her. That race is ripe for the picking anyway because the ML fave is a joke.

If I were singling a 5-1 firster in the opening leg of the Pick 4 I'd definitely keep from being knocked out by horses like Weathered or By the Light, whose respective records against NY breds are outstanding. This might be a smidge too far for By the Light, but what was so bad about her last race?

NT

I think Weathered is easy today. I would love to get 2-1/5-2 on her vs this group, this is the easiest she has faced in a long time.

Gander 01-14-2010 01:47 PM

I'm shocked Contessa's horse in the 6th race is 7/1. Thought for sure he'd be 2/1....wasnt going to bet to win but now I am.


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