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5/10: Churchill Downs ($385k Must Pay P6 C/O)

CHURCHILL DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

3rd: CLM, 4+, 7f (.20 P6, P3, DD)

$385k Must Pay P6 C/O starts here..

You know I’m a sucker for the triple whammy and Boyd Crowder adds a few more to the karma moves dropping down, cutting back, going turf to dirt and putting blinkers on. Plus Walsh reaches for his go to guy in Lanerie..

Best Value: #4 Boyd Crowder 9-2
Next Best: #7 Tiznoble 5-1
Exotics Use: #8 Chief of Staff 7-2
Super Add: #5 Catanova 9-2

4th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Very competitive group with a few trying the lawn for the first time..

Most Likely: #5 Zipp On By 7-2
Best Value: #6 Mutation 20-1
Next Best: #2 El Venue 10-1
Exotics Use: #3 …

3/24: FG (7th-11th); X-C P4; SA ($262k P5 C/O)

FAIR GROUNDS

PRE-SCRATCHES

7th: MSW, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Proctor stretches out Aspening and she’ll appreciate it; Real Sister has enough turf in her pedigree to take to it and at 15-1 the price is right; Firster Maybe Wicked from dangerous Cox is a full to turf tigress Mizzcan’tbewrong (5 W’s, $178k) & GSW and G1 placed Money’soncharlotte..

Most Likely: #6 Aspening 9-2 7th
Best Value: #4 Real Sister 15-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Maybe Wicked 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Tizaprincessa 6-1 3rd

8th: 93rd New Orleans H. (G2), 4+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

The Player is loose up front and should be tough to real in. Scuba, who looked finished at …

3/10: Aqueduct (7th-10th); Santa Anita (4th-11th)

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: 63rd Stymie, 4+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Treacherous start to the all stakes P4. Hit It Once More will make the lead but is going to face more pace pressure than in Haynesfield win. Davis will want to maneuver Harlan Punch (back on shortest rest yet) to Hit It’s outside and we’ll see how much of a duel develops. 10-1 Fellowship comes to town and should enjoy an excellent stalking trip outside the pacesetters. The rest of the field will get opportunities to make their runs and entire group is separated by less than 3 lengths on paper..

Most Likely: #5 Watershed 6-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Fellowship 10-1 5th
Next …

2/18: Santa Anita ($133k C/O)

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: MSW, F&M-4+, 6.5f-T (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Meal Ticket feels most likely 2nd off the long layoff, but hard to embrace 18/0-1-0 Chew right now..

Most Likely: #4 California Breeze 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Meal Ticket 7-2 4th
Best Value: #5 Beauty Devine 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Chalky 5-2 6th

2nd: MSW, 3yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Another MSW, another Baffert Cadillac. $500k Justify, noted by Hammer on Friday ATR, looks like the goods in morning. Must negotiate demanding 7f trip..

Most Likely: #3 Justify 6-5 WON ($3.00)
Next Best: #4 Camby 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Show Time Rocket 3-1 5th

3rd: CLM, 4yo, …

1/28: Gulfstream ($4MM Rainbow 6 Force Out)

GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: S/ALW, F&M-4+, 1m-T/84′ (Rainbow 6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #5 Bonita Springs 6-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Ultimate Cause 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Farcical Feline 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #6 O.K. Kay 7-2 3rd
Hi-5 Play: #9 Madame Uno 6-1 WON ($11.80)

8th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 7.5f-T/0′ (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Nootka Sound, last seen when 9-2 at Royal Ascot in 22 horse Windsor Castle, would figure to best these if she comes back running. And won’t be 9-2 today. If it’s not her, this becomes a mad scramble..

Most Likely: #6 Nootka Sound 9-2 WON ($10.60)
Next Best: #1 Camila Princess 7-2 3rd
Best …