Easy to focus on Saturday’s superb Gulfstream card
By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized |
GULFSTREAM PARK
POST-SCRATCHES
2nd: OC/$100k, 4+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)
High level OC lures return of LA Derby/Withers winner & KY Derby show pony Revolutionary, but also the seasonal debuts of SW’s Reveron (’12 GP Derby), Honorable Dillon (’13 Hutcheson) & Falling Sky (’13 Sam Davis). While Revolutionary is working well for first start since Belmont, this is a prep for the Donn and his style may leave him with a lot to do on a track that isn’t typically kind to off the pace rallyers..
POST SCR NOTE: SCR of Silver Menace takes earliest speed out of lineup..
Most Likely: #3 Honorable Dillon 3-1 5th
Best Value: #2 Reveron 6-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Revolutionary 7-5 WON ($2.60)
3rd: OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f-T/96′ (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #2 Calm Pacific 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #4 North Slope 4-1 7th
Best Value: #5 Bi Flash 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Charming Kitten 3-1 WON ($6.20)
4th: MSW, 3yo, 7f (P3, DD)
Wild assembly of potential talent that features debuts from throng of expensive purchases with distinguished siblings: $700k Hartford SCR’D is a full to Dance Card (Pletcher/Stonestreet); $400k Constitution is a half to Emcee (Pletcher/WinStar-Twin Creeks); $550k Athens a half to Pomeroy (Mott/WinStar); $600k Indy’s Legacy a three-quarter brother to Cool Coal Man (Byrne/Sanfords). Note that Bourbonize won an Oaklawn ALW Friday flattering Ian Wilkes’ Ulanbator who was third to him at Churchill in November after a bad start..
Most Likely: #6 Constitution 4-1 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #5 Ulanbator 12-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Greyfell 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Juba 5-1 2nd
5th: MCLM/$50k, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #6 Monteamira 5-1 5th
Next Best: #10 Donegal Hall 3-1 8th
Best Value: #5 Street Chief 12-1 9th
Exotics Use: #3 War Artist 10-1 3rd
<$75 P4 Play:
All A Entries
1 $1.50 pick P4: 1,2,3 with 2,4 with 6 with 6,10 – $18.00
A’s with One B
2 $1.00 pick P4: 1,2,3 with 5,7 with 6 with 6,10 – $12.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 1,2,3 with 2,4 with 6 with 3,5 – $12.00
A’s with Two B’s
4 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2,3 with 5,7 with 6 with 3,5 – $6.00
A’s with One C
5 $0.50 pick P4: 6,7 with 2,4 with 6 with 6,10 – $4.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2,3 with 9,11,12 with 6 with 6,10 – $9.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2,3 with 2,4 with 5 with 6,10 – $6.00
Total: $67.00
6th: MSW, 3yo, 9f-T/96′ (Jackpot Rainbow 6, P3, DD)
Rather wide open event with explosive potential if the favorites falter. Beyond obvious Majestic Sunset and Double Whammy, several at prices can move up significantly in turf bows including Blarp (12-1), Downtownleroybrown (20-1), Notability (8-1) and my especially kooky longshot Caspian Sea (20-1). Maddy Bird (20-1) another oddball number that lures Lopez and is out of dam that is full sister of $8,000,000 yearling Mr. Sekiguchi. ML second choice Perky Kitten (4-1) may be a play against off series of morning efforts that weren’t viewed favorably..
Most Likely: #8 Majestic Sunset 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Blarp 12-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Double Whammy 6-1 9th
Exotics Use: #6 Notability 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #10 Caspian Sea 20-1 7th
7th: OC/N1X, 4+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)
Very tricky start to the P5 with too many players coming off layoffs. Would love to get the horses posted outside (Doherty, Tarpy’s Surprise, Secretive) involved here, but they are really compromised at 8.5f..
Best Value: #5 Chee 8-1 6th
Next Best: #11 Secretive 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Doherty 4-1 8th
Super Add: #3 Fast Falcon 10-1 3rd
8th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 7.5f-T/24′ (P4, P3, DD)
Inner Goddess may have a real chance to steal this or be in position to out-finish Miss Arrangement. Another deep, contentious group..
Best Value: #6 Inner Goddess 15-1 11th
Next Best: #2 Miss Arrangement 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Super Sky 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Market Magic 8-1 5th
9th: 60th Ft. Lauderdale (G2), 4+, 8.5f-T/96′ (P3, DD)
Best Value: #3 Hierro 6-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Summer Front 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #1 Tetradrachm 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Slumber 8-1 4th
10th: 27th Hal’s Hope (G3), 4+, 1m (DD)
Terrific group with virtually no auto-toss candidates. May not be a great deal of pace on here and if Simmstown is left alone, he’ll wire. Purple Egg may be the one to apply pressure to keep things honest. Strike One looks poised for a breakthrough and with no absolute ‘beat me’ type involved, I’m willing to take a shot at what should be a big number..
Best Value: #3 Strike One 15-1 9th
Next Best: #1 Simmstown 10-1 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Csaba 3-1 5th
Super Add: #6 Lea 10-1 WON ($14.00)
11th: OC/N1X, 4+, 1m-T/24′ (Super Hi-5)
Most Likely: #4 Red Vine 3-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Twigazuri Strait 4-1 5th
Best Value: #14 Kid Lightening 10-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Big John B 6-1 WON ($10.40)
<$75 P5 Play:
Exceedingly treacherous sequence..
All A Entries
1 $0.50 pick P5: 5,11 with 2,6 with 3 with 1,3 with 4 – $4.00
A’s with One B
2 $0.50 pick P5: 5,11 with 1,5 with 3 with 1,3 with 4 – $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 5,11 with 2,6 with 6 with 1,3 with 4 – $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 5,11 with 2,6 with 3 with 2,6 with 4 – $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 5,11 with 2,6 with 3 with 1,3 with 6 – $4.00
A’s with Two B’s
6 $0.50 pick P5: 5,11 with 1,5 with 6 with 1,3 with 4 – $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P5: 5,11 with 1,5 with 3 with 2,6 with 4 – $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 5,11 with 1,5 with 3 with 1,3 with 6 – $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 5,11 with 2,6 with 6 with 2,6 with 4 – $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 5,11 with 2,6 with 6 with 1,3 with 6 – $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 5,11 with 2,6 with 3 with 2,6 with 6 – $4.00
A’s with One C
12 $0.50 pick P5: 2,3,7 with 2,6 with 3 with 1,3 with 4 – $6.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 5,11 with 8,9,11 with 3 with 1,3 with 4 – $6.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 5,11 with 2,6 with 1 with 1,3 with 4 – $4.00
15 $0.50 pick P5: 5,11 with 2,6 with 3 with 1,3 with 3,14 – $8.00
Total: $68.00
<$75 P4 Play:
All A Entries
1 $1.00 pick P4: 2,6 with 3,6 with 1,3 with 4 – $8.00
A’s with One B
2 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5 with 3,6 with 1,3 with 4 – $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 2,6 with 1 with 1,3 with 4 – $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 2,6 with 3,6 with 2,6 with 4 – $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 2,6 with 3,6 with 1,3 with 6 – $4.00
A’s with Two B’s
6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5 with 1 with 1,3 with 4 – $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5 with 3,6 with 2,6 with 4 – $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5 with 3,6 with 1,3 with 6 – $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 2,6 with 1 with 2,6 with 4 – $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 2,6 with 1 with 1,3 with 6 – $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 2,6 with 3,6 with 2,6 with 6 – $4.00
A’s with One C
12 $0.50 pick P4: 8,9,11 with 3,6 with 1,3 with 4 – $6.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 2,6 with 2,7,8 with 1,3 with 4 – $6.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 2,6 with 3,6 with 4,7,8,9 with 4 – $8.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 2,6 with 3,6 with 1,3 with 3,14 – $8.00
Total: $68.00